Commodity market report

Europe gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

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Report summary

The European gas market is going through profound changes, driven by policy decisions and a backdrop of challenging market fundamentals, including the recent fall in oil, with the on-going Russia-Ukraine crisis adding further uncertainty. How these changes play out will dictate how the European market - and ultimately prices - will evolve.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Europe Gas Markets H2 2014.xls

    XLS 2.19 MB

  • Document

    Europe gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

    PDF 6.61 MB

  • Document

    Europe gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

    ZIP 7.05 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 68.17 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 140.23 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 1.68 MB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 3.72 MB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 329.06 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 632.09 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 149.31 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 54.34 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 290.57 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 147.10 KB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 108 images and tables including:

Images

  • Infrastructure: Image 1
  • Gas demand by sector
  • Demand: Image 2
  • Demand: Image 3
  • Pipe capacity
  • Pipe capacity and contracted volumes
  • Supply: Image 1
  • Map – Western Russia
  • Map - Algeria
  • Map – Libya
  • NBP and oil indexed contracts*
  • Economics* of Gas vs Coal** in the Power Sector
  • Forward Market*: NBP vs Russian Oil indexed Price
  • Prices: Image 3
  • Prices: Image 4
  • Prices: Image 5
  • Supply-demand gap
  • Europe contestable demand and competing supply
  • Prices: Image 8
  • Prices: Image 9
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 1
  • Russia contracted and uncontracted flows into Europe
  • Russia flows by major pipelines into Europe
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 4
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 5
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 6
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 7
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 8
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 9
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 10
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 11
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 12
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 13
  • Policy and regulation: Image 1
  • Economic outlook: Image 1
  • Crude oil price outlook (Brent)
  • Oil product price outlook (NW Europe FOB)
  • Economic outlook: Image 4
  • Coal price forecast – cost and freight (CFR) ARA
  • Economic outlook: Image 6
  • Gas demand into power by sub region*
  • Change in gas into power demand compared to 2015
  • Capacity growth by fuel for Europe
  • Power generation mix for Europe
  • European unconventional gas outlook
  • Total pipe imports into Europe by destination
  • Pipe imports into Europe
  • Indigenous production-potential
  • Supply: Image 7
  • Supply: Image 8
  • Supply: Image 9
  • Indigenous production-potential
  • Pipe export potential to Europe vs. contracts vs. export capacity
  • Supply: Image 18
  • Supply: Image 19
  • Contracts: Image 2
  • Contracts: Image 3
  • Contracts: Image 4
  • Norway contract changes
  • Policy and regulation: Image 2
  • Historical carbon (EUA) prices in ETS trading phases
  • Industrial demand by sub region*
  • Change in industrial demand compared to 2015*
  • Residential/ commercial demand by sub region*
  • Change in res/ com demand compared to 2015*
  • Planned pipeline projects - Southern Corridor
  • Infrastructure: Image 5
  • Infrastructure: Image 6
  • Indigenous production-potential
  • Pipe export potential vs. contracts vs. export capacity
  • Supply: Image 13
  • Supply: Image 17
  • Map – Southern Corridor
  • Contracts: Image 6
  • Contracts: Image 7
  • Contracts: Image 8
  • Contracts: Image 9
  • Contracts: Image 10
  • Contracts: Image 11
  • Contracts: Image 12
  • Policy and regulation: Image 4
  • Policy and regulation: Image 5
  • Policy and regulation: Image 6
  • Policy and regulation: Image 7
  • Policy and regulation: Image 8
  • Policy and regulation: Image 9
  • Supply: Image 21
  • Supply: Image 22
  • Supply: Image 23
  • Supply: Image 24
  • Global LNG Supply and non European LNG Demand
  • LNG Available to Europe
  • Existing Atlantic/ME LNG liquefaction flows
  • Under construction and New Atlantic/ME LNG liquefaction flows

Tables

  • Policy and regulation: Table 1
  • Policy and regulation: Table 2
  • Policy and regulation: Table 6
  • Economic outlook: Table 1
  • Supply: Table 1
  • Europe LNG contracting – recent activities
  • Third package adoptions by member states (as of June 2013)
  • Policy and regulation: Table 4
  • Policy and regulation: Table 5
  • Infrastructure: Table 1
  • Infrastructure: Table 2
  • Infrastructure: Table 3
  • Infrastructure: Table 4
  • Europe pipe contracting – recent activities

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