Commodity Market Report

France gas markets long-term outlook H1 2015

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14 October 2015

France gas markets long-term outlook H1 2015

Report summary

The emergence of a premium between PEG Sud and PEG Nord prompted the French regulator to implement some short term measures ahead of a north-south pipeline expansion planned for 2018. However, since December 2014, the PEG Sud (now PEG TRS, following the merger between PEG Sud and PEG TIGF) premium has disappeared following increased LNG global availability and high imports at Fos Tonkin and Fos-Cavaou, raising doubts on the commercial viability of north-south pipeline expansion.

Table of contents

    • Key changes and recent trends
    • Links to related reports
    • Power generation
    • Residential
    • Commercial
    • Industrial
    • Other
  • Supply
    • France-Belgium pipeline
    • Other pipelines
    • Piped imports: historical flows and contracts
      • Recent trends
      • Contracts
        • LNG imports: historical flows and contracts
          • Recent Trends
          • Contracts
        • Gas exports: historical flows and contracts
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Tariffs for transportation
      • GRTgaz charges
      • TIGF charges
    • PEGs and price development
    • French hub gas price forecast
      • Annual gas prices (real 2015)
    • Trading at PEGs
      • The Powernext Gas market, which accounts for around one third of traded volumes in France, has been in place since November 2008. This enables natural gas trade to take place in France on the French PEGs (Points d'échange de Gaz). There were three spot gas markets – PEGs Nord, Sud and TIGF – but since April 2015, the South PEGs have merged, creating the common market trading are PEG TRS (Trading Region South). At each point the following contracts are offered:

Tables and charts

This report includes 23 images and tables including:

  • Gas demand by sector 2010 to 2035
  • Gas production profile - 2010 to 2035
  • Infrastructure: Image 1
  • Gas supply demand gap
  • Gas flows into France
  • Long run delivered costs of gas to France
  • Executive summary: Image 1
  • Gas flows into France
  • Infrastructure: Image 2
  • Infrastructure: Image 3
  • Infrastructure: Table 1
  • Infrastructure: Table 2
  • France storage outlook
  • TIGF French entry and exit capacity charges 2014
  • Costs: Table 2
  • Prices: Image 1
  • Development of gas trading at PEGs
  • Contracts: Image 1
  • Contracts: Image 2
  • Contracts: Image 5
  • Contracts: Image 6
  • Contracts: Image 3
  • Contracts: Image 4

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    France gas H1 2015.xls

    XLS 762.50 KB

  • Document

    France gas markets long-term outlook H1 2015

    PDF 963.02 KB

  • Document

    France gas markets long-term outlook H1 2015

    ZIP 1.07 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 96.76 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 111.16 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 81.74 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 590.63 KB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 117.71 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 106.41 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 191.26 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 101.79 KB

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