Commodity market report

France gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

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Report summary

The emergence of a premium between PEG Sud and PEG Nord has prompted the French regulator to implement measures ahead of a north south pipeline expansion planned for 2018. However since December 2014 higher LNG imports have eroded the premium. Looking ahead Peg Nord will continue to be influenced by market fundamentals in North West Europe and the UK. We see little scope for a sustained Peg Sud premium as reduced exports to Spain and higher LNG result in a more balanced market.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    EGAPS France Gas H2 2014.xls

    XLS 1.12 MB

  • Document

    France gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

    PDF 1.02 MB

  • Document

    France gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

    ZIP 1.29 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 86.83 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 89.61 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 71.28 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 78.53 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 124.15 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 71.68 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 586.36 KB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 107.76 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 100.88 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 121.37 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 122.40 KB

  • Document

    Margins

    PDF 146.15 KB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 42 images and tables including:

Images

  • GDP forecast - France
  • Gas production profile - 2005 to 2035
  • Infrastructure: Image 1
  • Gas supply demand gap
  • Gas flows into France
  • French export and transit gas flows
  • Executive summary: Image 1
  • Gas flows into France
  • Demand: Image 2
  • Demand: Image 3
  • Infrastructure: Image 2
  • Infrastructure: Image 3
  • Infrastructure: Image 5
  • Infrastructure: Image 6
  • Costs: Image 1
  • Historical consumer prices (2007-2013)
  • Household sector gross margins based on Typical Oil Indexed contract (2007-2013)
  • Household sector gross margins based on PEG Nord hub pricing (2007-2013)
  • Household sector cost breakdown June 2013
  • Industrial sector gross margins based on oil indexed contract prices (2007-2013)
  • Industrial sector gross margins based on PEG Nord hub pricing (2007-2013)
  • Demand: Image 1
  • Existing infrastructure – gas storage (volume in mcm)
  • Planned gas storage (volume in mcm)
  • Contracts: Image 3
  • Contracts: Image 4
  • Contracts: Image 5
  • Contracts: Image 6
  • Prices: Image 1
  • Development of gas trading at PEGs
  • Contracts: Image 1
  • Contracts: Image 2

Tables

  • Q3 2014 Economic indicators (2005-2035)
  • French gas network
  • Margins: Table 1
  • Margins: Table 2
  • Policy and regulation: Table 1
  • Policy and regulation: Table 2
  • Costs: Table 1
  • Costs: Table 2
  • Costs: Table 3
  • Costs: Table 4

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