Commodity Market Report

France gas markets long-term outlook - H2 2016

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06 March 2017

France gas markets long-term outlook - H2 2016

Report summary

France is moving towards gas market homogenisation by 2018. The major challenge is to overcome the capacity bottleneck for trade between the north and south of the country. The latter remains very dependent on LNG imports. It has historically traded gas at a premium to the north, the transit capacity from north to south being regularly congested. In 2016, the premium re-appeared as a result of higher demand and lower LNG availability. In the next five years, demand will be supported by low gas prices and the French government’s willingness  to phase out power generation from coal and decrease its dependence on nuclear. Longer term, we expect demand to decrease steadily. Renewables in the power sector and energy efficiency measures will kick in, and prices will reflect the need for new, more expensive supply sources to meet higher requirements in the Pacific basin.

Table of contents

    • Key changes and recent trends
      • Links to related reports
    • Power generation
    • Residential
    • Commercial
    • Industrial
    • Transport
    • Other
  • Supply
    • Gas pipeline infrastructure
      • Existing infrastructure
      • Planned developments
    • LNG infrastructure
    • Storage infrastructure
    • Piped imports: historical flows and contracts
      • Recent trends
      • Contracts
    • LNG imports: historical flows and contracts
      • Recent Trends
      • Contracts
    • Gas exports: historical flows and contracts
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Tariffs for transportation
      • GRTgaz charges
        • GRTgaz French entry and exit capacity charges 2016-17
      • TIGF charges
        • TIGF French entry and exit capacity charges 2016-17
      • Tariffs for LNG terminals
    • PEGs and price development
    • French hub gas price forecast
    • Trading at PEGs

Tables and charts

This report includes 19 images and tables including:

  • Gas demand by sector 2010 to 2035
  • Gas production profile - 2010 to 2035
  • MAP
  • Import Capacity
  • Export Capcity
  • Gas supply demand gap
  • Gas flows into France
  • Long run delivered costs of gas to France
  • France storage outlook
  • Historical piped exports
  • France contracted piped exports
  • French hub gas price forecast
  • Historical piped imports
  • Contracts: Image 2
  • Historical LNG imports
  • France contracted LNG imports
  • Tariffs for the use of LNG terminals 2016-17
  • Costs: Table 1
  • Costs: Table 2

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    2016 H2 EES France Gas.xls

    XLS 1.45 MB

  • Document

    France gas markets long-term outlook - H2 2016

    PDF 932.79 KB

  • Document

    France gas markets long-term outlook - H2 2016

    ZIP 1.27 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 86.23 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 108.86 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 81.19 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 582.50 KB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 116.78 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 106.47 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 191.80 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 91.36 KB

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