Commodity market report

Germany gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

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Report summary

Gas demand in 2014 is forecast at 69 bcm a decline of 19% from 2013. Declines have been across all sectors but particularly the non power sectors a result of mild temperatures. With oil price falling below US$70/bbl expectations on future spot gas prices in Germany have also reduced. But oil price is not the only element affecting gas prices with prices increasing some 30% since June. We continue to expect prices to increase in the period to 2018 before greater supply competition emerges.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    EGAPS Germany Gas H2 2014.xls

    XLS 1.23 MB

  • Document

    Germany gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

    PDF 1.06 MB

  • Document

    Germany gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

    ZIP 1.40 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 84.43 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 89.78 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 82.32 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 117.41 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 125.23 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 73.19 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 615.92 KB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 83.50 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 114.37 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 120.83 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 113.15 KB

  • Document

    Margins

    PDF 129.16 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
  • Market structure
  • Policy and regulation
  • Demand
  • Supply
  • Infrastructure
  • Contracts
  • Supply-demand balances
  • Costs
  • Prices
  • Margins

Tables and charts

This report includes 42 images and tables including:

Images

  • GDP forecast - Germany
  • Supply: Image 1
  • Infrastructure: Image 1
  • Supply demand gap
  • Executive summary: Image 1
  • Executive summary: Image 2
  • Demand: Image 1
  • Demand: Image 2
  • Infrastructure: Image 2
  • Infrastructure: Image 3
  • Historical piped imports
  • Contracts: Image 2
  • Historical piped exports
  • Germany contracted piped exports
  • Gas flows into Germany
  • Costs: Image 1
  • Historical consumer prices (2007-2013)
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 3
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 4
  • German export and transit gas flows
  • Prices: Image 1
  • Prices: Image 2
  • Development of gas trading at NCG
  • Margins: Image 1
  • Margins: Image 2
  • Margins: Image 3
  • Margins: Image 4
  • Margins: Image 5
  • Infrastructure: Image 4
  • Infrastructure: Image 7
  • Infrastructure: Image 5
  • Infrastructure: Image 6

Tables

  • Economic outlook: Table 1
  • German gas network
  • Policy and regulation: Table 1
  • Key targets
  • Costs: Table 1
  • Costs: Table 2
  • Costs: Table 3
  • Costs: Table 4
  • Costs: Table 5
  • Costs: Table 6

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