Commodity Market Report

Global gas markets long-term outlook - Asia gas and LNG - H1 2018

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14 August 2018

Global gas markets long-term outlook - Asia gas and LNG - H1 2018

Report summary

Asian LNG demand is accelerating while longer-term growth expectations in several markets have increased.   Key highlights: Continued deepening of clean air policies across Asia Change in Asian contracting trends as oil indexation levels start to trend upwards, Henry Hub comes back into favour, and contract duration and volume increases  Emerging market LNG demand accelerates Accelerating renewables growth expected to reduce longer-term gas to power expectations in several key markets Key content: In-depth analysis of the gas market Gas and LNG supply, demand, infrastructure and trade Asian LNG contracting and gas pricing trends Policy and regulations

Table of contents

    • China dominates the headlines currently but LNG demand growth will be spread across Asia
    • Key themes since H2 2017 publication
    • Key changes to analysis from H2 2017 publication
    • Figure 2 Asia gas demand by sector
    • Table 1: Gas demand by country
    • China accounts for two thirds of Asia's gas demand growth between 2017 and 2035
    • South Asia – new infrastructure revives latent gas demand
    • South East Asia – transitioning from exporter to importer will hit gas demand growth rates
    • Figure 13 Asia gas supply
    • Figure
    • China gas pipeline trade
    • Other proposed transnational gas pipeline trade
  • LNG Trade
    • Figure 19 Contracted LNG supply and demand by region and pricing indexation
  • Gas pricing
    • Asia has the worst air quality globally
    • Carbon pricing in Japan, South Korea, China and Singapore
    • Asia’s population growth slows
    • GDP grows, but wide disparities in income levels will continue
    • Electricity consumption per person increases – even in wealthy countries

Tables and charts

This report includes 35 images and tables including:

  • Executive summary: Image 1
  • Figure 3 Gas demand by region
  • Figure 4 Gas demand by region
  • Figure 17 Asia pipeline trade (excluding SE Asia internal trade)
  • Table 2 LNG Trade
  • Figure 18 Asia contracted LNG supply by pricing indexation compared to LNG demand
  • Figure 20 Indicative gas market pricing in Asia
  • Figure 1: Asian LNG demand growth 2017-2035
  • Executive summary: Table 1
  • Demand: Image 1
  • Demand: Table 1
  • Figure 5 China gas demand by sector
  • Figure 6 Relative growth rates power and gas
  • Figure 7 JKT gas demand by sector
  • Figure 8 Relative growth rates power and gas
  • Figure 9 South Asia gas demand by sector
  • Figure 10 Relative growth rates power and gas
  • Figure 11 SE Asia gas demand by sector
  • Figure 12 Relative growth rates power and gas
  • Domestic Production: Image 1
  • Figure 14 Asia domestic production by status
  • Figure 15 Asia domestic production by region
  • Domestic Production: Image 4
  • China contracted LNG supply vs demand
  • JKT contracted LNG supply vs demand
  • SE Asia contracted LNG supply vs demand
  • South Asia contracted LNG supply vs demand
  • Figure 21 Verisk Maplecroft Air Quality Index Map
  • Environment: Image 2
  • Table 3 AQI (Air Quality Index) in Asia: Extreme 0 - 2.5, High 2.5 - 5, Medium 5 - 7.5, Low 7.5 - 10
  • Table 4 Population by country million people
  • Figure 23 GDP growth by region
  • Figure 24 GDP per capita by region
  • Figure 25 GDP per capita by country
  • Table 5 Electricity demand per capita

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Global gas markets long-term outlook - Asia gas and LNG - H1 2018

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