Commodity Market Report

Global gas markets long-term outlook: Base Case - H1 2017

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Report summary

There are signs of market recovery in the Pacific Basin as demand in China and South Asia looks increasingly promising and LNG supply shortfalls provide headroom for increased Atlantic LNG imports. But it is a different story in Europe where not only Russia but also Norway and Algeria seem now determined to maintain market share. We see the risk for a subdued European market to drag Asian spot prices down in the medium term. In the long-term global prices will recover as new supply is required to meet demand.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Global Gas Outlook - Base Case - H1 2017.xls

    XLS 2.78 MB

  • Document

    global gas markets - macro assumptions - h1 2017.xls

    XLS 3.46 MB

  • Document

    Global gas markets - Prices - H1 2017.xls

    XLS 201.00 KB

  • Document

    Global gas markets long-term outlook: Base Case - H1 2017

    PDF 559.39 KB

  • Document

    Global gas markets long-term outlook: Base Case - H1 2017

    ZIP 1.44 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 82.50 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 80.76 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 339.93 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 275.87 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 171.74 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 171.40 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 113.75 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 116.62 KB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 30 images and tables including:

Tables

  • Prices: Table 1
  • Economic outlook: Table 1

Images

  • Global gas spot price forecast
  • Brent oil price
  • Supply into Europe
  • US LNG Utilisation versus capacity (post-FID)
  • Atlantic LNG to Asia
  • Global spot price differentials
  • Prices: Image 9
  • Global LNG supply and demand delivered to Japan (2030)
  • Global LNG availability and Pacific/ME market
  • Net LNG available to Atlantic
  • Global coal prices
  • Prices: Image 4
  • NBP long-term outlook versus Russia target price
  • Russia pipe flows into Europe
  • Trade: Image 1
  • Pacific contestable demand by market
  • Pacific LNG demand and supply
  • Pacific LNG contestable demand and competing available supply
  • Pacific LNG flows by source
  • Europe supply-demand gap
  • Europe contestable demand and competing supply
  • Europe demand and supply mix
  • Europe contestable demand and supply mix
  • North America LNG Imports
  • South America LNG Imports*
  • US Lower 48 LNG exports by destination
  • Canada and Alaska LNG exports by destination
  • Economic outlook: Image 3

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