Commodity market report

Global gas markets long-term outlook - Base case - H2 2014

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Report summary

In the medium term we continue to see strong European and Asian spot prices with increased LNG from the Atlantic and Qatar being diverted to the Pacific market. In the period 2019 2021 we forecast a collapse in spot price as a result of a global oversupply with growing LNG output from Australia and the US. Thereafter market fundamentals are expected to rebalance but abundant global gas and LNG supply will result in prices being consistent with the cost of new supply.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Global gas markets - Base case - H2 2014.xls

    XLS 1.16 MB

  • Document

    Global Gas Markets- Macro Assumptions-H2 2014.xls

    XLS 256.00 KB

  • Document

    Global Gas Markets - Prices - H2 2014.xls

    XLS 217.50 KB

  • Document

    Global gas markets long-term outlook - Base case - H2 2014

    PDF 1011.22 KB

  • Document

    Global gas markets long-term outlook - Base case - H2 2014

    ZIP 1.40 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 94.82 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 625.23 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 230.04 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 108.53 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Prices
  • Trade
  • Economic outlook

Tables and charts

This report includes 46 images and tables including:

Images

  • Q3 2014 Regional GDP growth
  • Regional GDP growth - CAGR 2014-2035
  • Economic outlook: Image 3
  • Prices: Image 1
  • Prices: Image 2
  • Forward Market*: NBP vs Russian Oil Indexed Price
  • Prices: Image 4
  • Prices: Image 5
  • Global contestable market
  • Executive summary: Image 2
  • Excess capacity
  • Pacific LNG demand by market
  • Pacific contestable LNG demand by market
  • Global LNG availability and Pacific/ME market
  • Net LNG available to Atlantic
  • Europe demand v contracted supply
  • Europe contestable demand and competing supply
  • Europe contestable demand and supply mix
  • Europe demand and supply mix
  • North America LNG imports
  • North America LNG imports by source
  • Pacific LNG demand
  • Pacific contestable LNG demand by market
  • Trade: Image 16
  • US Gulf Coast LNG exports by destination
  • West Canada, Alaska and US West Coast LNG exports by destination
  • Pacific LNG flows by source
  • Atlantic flows to Pacific by source
  • Global LNG availability and Pacific/ME market
  • Net LNG available to Atlantic
  • Europe demand v contracted supply
  • Europe contestable demand and competing supply
  • Europe contestable demand and supply mix
  • Europe demand and supply mix
  • North America LNG imports
  • North America LNG imports by source
  • South America LNG imports
  • South America LNG imports by source
  • Atlantic LNG imports by source
  • Pacific and Middle East LNG imports by source
  • Trade: Image 3
  • Trade: Image 4
  • Trade: Image 5
  • Economic outlook: Image 4
  • EU ETS carbon price
  • US and Canada carbon price

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