Commodity Market Report

Global gas markets long-term outlook - China - H1 2015

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24 June 2015

Global gas markets long-term outlook - China - H1 2015

Report summary

Structural factors, China's economic transformation and environmental policies, and cyclical events such as low oil and coal prices have led us to revise down our domestic and LNG demand forecast for H1 2015.  The pace of gas-oil switching has slowed down considerably due to the competitiveness of oil, infrastructure constraints, and overcapacity in the industrial sector.  

Table of contents

    • Medium-term demand growth remains soft
    • LNG growing pains continue, but demand response emerges by 2020
    • Shale continues to disappoint, are new incentives on the horizon?
  • Economic outlook
    • Gas Pricing Reform
    • Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan (APPCAP)
    • Energy Development Strategic Action Plan
    • Power sector
    • Non-power sectors
      • Industrial sector
      • Residential/commercial sector
      • Transport
    • Indigenous production
      • Domestic conventional supply
      • Unconventional supply (tight gas)
      • Unconventional supply (CBM/CMM)
      • Unconventional supply (SNG/coal to gas)
      • Unconventional supply (shale gas)
    • Regasification
    • Pipelines
    • LNG Contracts
    • Pipeline Contracts
  • Costs
    • Medium term
    • Long term
  • Risks and uncertainties

Tables and charts

This report includes 9 images and tables including:

  • Gas demand by sector
  • Key Infrastructure
  • Long run delivered costs of gas to China
  • Contracted supply-demand gap
  • Supply-demand balance
  • Demand: Image 2
  • Power generation mix
  • Domestic gas supply
  • Infrastructure: Table 1

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    global gas markets long-term outlook - china - h1 2015.xls

    XLS 359.50 KB

  • Document

    Global gas markets long-term outlook - China - H1 2015

    PDF 708.85 KB

  • Document

    Global gas markets long-term outlook - China - H1 2015

    ZIP 796.35 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 68.82 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 73.46 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 53.56 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 56.12 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 73.06 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 72.70 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 92.26 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 93.82 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 99.36 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 102.80 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 423.01 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 432.22 KB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 75.83 KB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 81.10 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 88.93 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 95.36 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 101.80 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 103.08 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 71.33 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 75.13 KB

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