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20 Pages

Global gas markets long-term outlook - China - H1 2016


Global gas markets long-term outlook - China - H1 2016

Report summary

The gloom surrounding the Chinese gas market in 2015 has been replaced with cautious optimism as a recovery in the oil price, lower domestic city gate prices and a series of national and local policies aimed at supporting gas have combined to improve the outlook through the mid-term at least. However, despite these positive indicators, the lost momentum in the Chinese gas market through 2015, combined with reduced levels of domestic investment and lower GDP growth, is again resulting in a lower long-term outlook for gas in China.   

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Global gas markets long-term outlook - China - H1 2016 PDF - 695.86 KB 20 Pages, 1 Tables, 9 Figures
  • Global gas markets long-term outlook -China -H1 2016.xls XLS - 607.00 KB

Description

Volatility in oil markets and the growth of unconventional gas supply have created a high degree of uncertainty about future gas demand and the direction of gas prices.

This Gas Markets Long Term Outlook report forecasts future pricing, based on deep analysis of gas supply and demand fundamentals. Additionally, it addresses complex questions on gas flows, identifies future opportunities and informs fuel purchasing strategies.

Participants and investors can use this long term outlook report to understand gas markets and assess the impact of global gas dynamics and key market drivers.

Wood Mackenzie provides detailed supply, demand and price forecasts based on our integrated upstream, power, coal and LNG research. Our regional gas experts are based in the markets they analyse, providing comprehensive analyses of regional and global gas markets.

If you want to understand complex gas market dynamics and plan for the future, Wood Mackenzie is the premier resource to help you gain a clear, competitive advantage.

  • Executive summary
    • Introduction
    • Gas demand growth improving as oil prices recover…
    • …and supported by lower gas prices
    • The path to gas market liberalisation is unclear…
    • …but stalled progress on pipe imports, higher cost domestic gas and shale gas challenges are supporting a more bullish LNG demand outlook
    • Slower economic growth inevitably means lower long-term gas demand
  • Economic outlook
  • Policy and regulation
    • Gas price reform
    • Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan (APPCAP)
    • Energy Development Strategic Action Plan and the 13th Five-Year Plan
  • Demand
    • Power sector
    • Non-power sectors
      • Industrial sector
      • Residential/commercial sector
      • Transport
  • Supply
    • Indigenous production
      • Domestic conventional supply
      • Unconventional supply: tight gas
      • Unconventional supply: CBM/CMM
      • Unconventional supply: SNG/coal to gas
      • Unconventional supply: shale gas
  • Infrastructure
    • Regasification
    • Pipelines
  • Contracts
    • LNG contracts
    • Pipeline contracts
  • Costs
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Medium term
    • Long term
  • Risks and uncertainties

In this report there are 10 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
    • H1 2016 GDP growth (2010-2035)
  • Policy and regulation
  • Demand
    • Gas demand by sector
    • Demand: Image 2
    • Power generation mix
  • Supply
    • Domestic gas supply
  • Infrastructure
    • Key Infrastructure
    • Infrastructure: Table 1
  • Contracts
  • Costs
    • Long run delivered costs of gas to China
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Contracted supply-demand gap
    • Supply-demand balance
  • Risks and uncertainties
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