Commodity Market Report

Global gas markets long-term outlook H1 2017: Southern Cone

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18 August 2017

Global gas markets long-term outlook H1 2017: Southern Cone

Report summary

We have increased our long-term and short-term outlooks for gas demand across the Southern Cone of South America as a result of regulatory reforms, more competitive costs and new LNG regas projects in the region. During this update we are also including enhancements to our modelling, adding geographical and temporal granularity to both our gas and power models. Although our short-term outlook has increased since the 2016 H2 update, markets are to remain lacklustre when compared to the peaks of 2013-2015. It won't be until 2022-2025 that the total gas market size will surpass those figures. The main drivers for growth in the medium and long-term are gas-for-power demand in Brazil, the decline of the Campos field, and steady demand growth in Chile and Argentina. After 2025, new offshore fields in Campos and the Santos Basin, plus growth in unconventional gas production in Argentina will put downward pressure again on LNG imports.

Table of contents

    • Economic outlook
    • State involvement
    • Price regimes
      • Argentina
      • Bolivia
      • Brazil
      • Chile
    • Environment
    • Gas demand by country (2010-2035)
    • Gas to power demand
    • Non-power gas demand
    • Gas to power demand
    • Non-power gas demand
    • Gas to power demand
    • Non-power gas demand
    • Gas to power demand
  • Supply
    • Key infrastructure
    • LNG
      • Chile
      • Uruguay
    • Piped
    • Southern Cone gas prices
  • Costs
  • Supply-demand balances
  • Risks and uncertainties

Tables and charts

This report includes 21 images and tables including:

  • Domestic gas supply (2015-2035)
  • Regas capacity and contracted volumes
  • Pipe capacity and contracted volumes
  • Contracts: Image 3
  • Argentina supply-demand balance
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 2
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 1
  • Bolivia supply-demand balance
  • Chart title goes here
  • Brazil supply-demand balance
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 6
  • Chile supply-demand balance
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 8
  • Uruguay supply-demand balance
  • Chart title goes here
  • Economic indicators (2010-2035) - Q3 2017
  • Demand: Image 1
  • Infrastructure: Image 1
  • Regas capacity by status
  • Pipe capacity
  • Prices: Image 1

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Regional Market Southern Cone 2017 H1.xls

    XLS 771.00 KB

  • Document

    Global gas markets long-term outlook H1 2017: Southern Cone

    PDF 833.37 KB

  • Document

    Global gas markets long-term outlook H1 2017: Southern Cone

    ZIP 1.02 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 54.35 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 78.70 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 115.69 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 61.69 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 75.18 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 87.02 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 111.85 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 81.97 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 92.72 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 115.09 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 82.08 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 106.04 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 112.91 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 261.00 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 278.82 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 332.61 KB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 80.50 KB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 93.38 KB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 97.37 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 86.01 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 97.13 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 124.78 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 85.80 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 96.25 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 59.71 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 112.91 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 125.46 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 266.93 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 53.38 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 57.35 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 92.04 KB

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