Commodity market report

Global gas markets long-term outlook - North America - H2 2014

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Report summary

A record-setting cold winter provided welcome price support for North American gas producers, and unexpected pain for gas and power end-users. Yet despite the old-school heating season, the themes defining North American gas markets remain unchanged.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    regional market north america h2 2014.xls

    XLS 593.50 KB

  • Document

    Global gas markets long-term outlook - North America - H2 2014

    PDF 995.76 KB

  • Document

    Global gas markets long-term outlook - North America - H2 2014

    ZIP 1.13 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 81.99 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 97.77 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 144.90 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 131.31 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 654.75 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 100.68 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 84.12 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Prices
    • Economic growth
    • Energy policy developments
    • Gas demand by sector
      • Electric load: sluggish post-recession recovery followed by historically lower growth rates.
      • Near-term coal retirements are well-defined
      • The EPA’s Clean Power Plan now becomes the biggest regulatory uncertainty facing the power sector
      • US new builds: renewables and gas vie for new energy needs
      • Mexico: a major shift to gas-fired generation is underway
      • Canada: more modest gas growth in power sector
    • Residential/commercial sector
      • Fertilizers: US will become net exporter by 2017
      • Methanol: US project development supported by Chinese backing
      • Gas-to-liquids: small-scale projects will lead the way
      • Oil sands: low oil prices only a temporary hurdle
    • Transport sector
    • Indigenous production
    • Regional overview
    • Cost of new supply
    • Contracted supply-demand gap
    • Supply-demand balance
    • Downside pricing risks
    • Upside pricing risks

Tables and charts

This report includes 14 images and tables including:

Images

  • North American gas price forecast
  • North America GDP growth forecast
  • North America gas end-use growth versus 2014
  • End use by country
  • Per-capita end-use consumption by country
  • US production by type
  • Canada production by type
  • Northeast shale production
  • Impact of WTI oil price on US gas breakevens
  • Impact of WTI oil price on Canada gas breakevens
  • North America LNG export infrastructure
  • Global gas price forecast
  • LNG supply-demand gap
  • Supply-demand balance

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