North American unconventional production has remained resilient in the face of low oil prices. We expect output to exceed 1 000 bcm by 2020. Technology drilling improvements and optimisation continue to lower costs and increase well performance. Meanwhile China's unconventional potential is receiving greater focus; although we do not expect material growth until post 2025. Output is forecast to reach 284 bcm by 2035 meeting nearly half China's domestic demand. In contrast unconventional prospects in Europe continue to weaken in light of public opposition.