Commodity market report
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15 Pages

Global gas markets long-term supply outlook - Central Asia - H1 2016

Global gas markets long-term supply outlook - Central Asia - H1 2016

Report summary

We forecast that export volumes from Central Asia will grow from 57 bcm in 2015 to over 90 bcm post-2025. Exports to China from Turkmenistan's South Iolotan field, through an expanded Trans-Asia pipeline will underpin export growth.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Global gas markets long-term supply outlook - Central Asia - H1 2016 PDF - 912.85 KB 15 Pages, 3 Tables, 11 Figures
  • Global gas markets long term supply outlook Central Asia H1 2016.xls XLS - 359.50 KB


Volatility in oil markets and the growth of unconventional gas supply have created a high degree of uncertainty about future gas demand and the direction of gas prices.

This Gas Markets Long Term Outlook report forecasts future pricing, based on deep analysis of gas supply and demand fundamentals. Additionally, it addresses complex questions on gas flows, identifies future opportunities and informs fuel purchasing strategies.

Participants and investors can use this long term outlook report to understand gas markets and assess the impact of global gas dynamics and key market drivers.

Wood Mackenzie provides detailed supply, demand and price forecasts based on our integrated upstream, power, coal and LNG research. Our regional gas experts are based in the markets they analyse, providing comprehensive analyses of regional and global gas markets.

If you want to understand complex gas market dynamics and plan for the future, Wood Mackenzie is the premier resource to help you gain a clear, competitive advantage.

  • Executive summary
  • Supply
    • Turkmenistan’s South Iolotan development provides the basis for significant production growth
    • Foreign investment required to sustain Uzbekistan’s production
    • Kazakhstan’s output dominated by associated gas production
      • State company KazMunaiGas is involved in all aspects of Kazakhstan's hydrocarbon development and sales, but IOCs either operate or have a majority interest in all three of the major fields. CNPC is also very active in the country with a number of gas projects.
  • Demand
    • Domestic gasification facilitates gas demand growth in Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan, but government policy will cause a marginal decline in Uzbekistan
  • Infrastructure
    • Pipe
    • LNG
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Export potential
      • Excess export capacity due to underutilised pipelines to Russia
  • Contracts
    • To Russia
    • To China
    • To Iran
  • Trade
    • Strategy
    • Market access
      • Trans-Asia pipeline has opened a new export frontier
    • Recent Trends
      • China exports consistently exceed those to Russia, exports to Iran have shown instability
    • Outlook
    • Medium term
      • Fall in exports to Russia will be offset by growth to China
    • Long term
      • Exports to China reach 70 bcm by the late 2020s as flows to Russia dwindle
  • Risks and uncertainties

In this report there are 14 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Map - key domestic and export infrastructure
  • Supply
    • Indigenous production potential
  • Demand
    • Domestic demand by country
  • Infrastructure
    • Export capacity
    • Existing export pipelines
    • Pipelines under construction
    • Proposed pipelines
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Available export volumes vs available export capacity
  • Contracts
    • Contracted exports vs export potential
  • Trade
    • Exports to Russia
    • Exports to China
    • Exports to Iran
    • Export outlook v export potential
    • Export supply mix
  • Risks and uncertainties
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