Commodity market report

Global gas markets long-term supply outlook - Central Asia - H2 2014

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Report summary

We forecast that export volumes from Central Asia will grow from 67 bcm in 2014 to 95 bcm by 2025.by 2025. Exports to China through an expanded Trans-Asia pipeline are the primary driver for growth.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Global gas markets - Central Asia supply - H2 2014.xls

    XLS 266.50 KB

  • Document

    Global gas markets long-term supply outlook - Central Asia - H2 2014

    PDF 914.21 KB

  • Document

    Global gas markets long-term supply outlook - Central Asia - H2 2014

    ZIP 976.80 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 640.20 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 77.80 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 74.87 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 99.40 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 71.77 KB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 75.65 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 90.41 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 52.61 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
    • Indigenous production potential
    • Output dominated by associated gas production
    • Foreign investment required to sustain production
    • Domestic demand by sector
    • Domestic gasification facilitates gas demand growth in Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan, but government policy will cause a marginal decline in Uzbekistan
      • Existing Export Pipelines
      • Pipelines Under Construction
      • Proposed Pipelines
    • LNG
      • Available export volumes vs available export capacity
      • Excess export capacity from underused pipelines to Russia
    • Contracted exports vs export potential
    • Strategy
      • Trans-Asia pipeline has opened new export frontier
      • China exports set to exceed those to Russia in 2014, exports to Iran have shown instability
      • Exports to Iran
    • Outlook
      • Fall in exports to Russia compensated by growth to China
      • Exports to China reach 74 bcm by late 2020s, flows to Russia dwindle
  • Risks and uncertainties

Tables and charts

This report includes 14 images and tables including:

Images

  • Map - key domestic and export infrastructure
  • Export capacity
  • Supply: Image 1
  • Demand: Image 1
  • Contracts: Image 1
  • Export outlook v export potential
  • Export supply mix
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 1
  • Exports to Russia
  • Exports to China
  • Trade: Image 3

Tables

  • Infrastructure: Table 1
  • Infrastructure: Table 2
  • Infrastructure: Table 3

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