Commodity Market Report

Global gas markets long-term supply outlook - Russian Federation - H2 2017

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20 March 2018

Global gas markets long-term supply outlook - Russian Federation - H2 2017

Report summary

In 2017, Russia broke its export record yet again, supplying almost 190 bcm to Europe, a 12% increase on 2016 exports. This represented a 37% share of the European gas market. Russian piped exports to Europe and Turkey will remain in the 160-180 bcm range over the next 5 years as Gazprom looks to pursue market share and maintain more than 30% share of the European market. Pipeline supplies to China will start by end-2019 and ramp-up through the early 2020s reducing Gazprom’s exposure to the European market.

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
    • Russia West
      • Independent producers reduce Gazprom's share of the supply mix
    • Russia East
    • Russia is developing new, more cost-efficient supply routes to Europe
    • Recent Trends
      • European exports hit record in 2017
      • Flexible Russian supply balances the European market in the long-term, pipe exports to Asia are engine of growth

Tables and charts

This report includes 8 images and tables including:

  • Russia West production potential*
  • Russia East production potential*
  • Russia pipe cost to Germany via NordStream vs. Ukraine transit
  • Russia pipe cost to Baumgartern via Nordstream vs. Ukraine transit
  • Total imports into Europe by destination
  • Pipe imports into Europe
  • Export outlook v. export potential
  • Export supply mix

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    global gas markets long-term outlook russian federation h2 2017.xls

    XLS 668.00 KB

  • Document

    Global gas markets long-term supply outlook - Russian Federation - H2 2017

    PDF 326.20 KB

  • Document

    Global gas markets long-term supply outlook - Russian Federation - H2 2017

    ZIP 568.70 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 57.69 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 112.19 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 86.39 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 126.19 KB

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