Commodity Market Report

Global gas markets long-term supply outlook - Southern Corridor - H1 2016

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28 July 2016

Global gas markets long-term supply outlook - Southern Corridor - H1 2016

Report summary

Azerbaijan, Iran and the Kurdistan region of Iraq all have substantial gas reserves which could provide abundant alternative piped supplies along a new route commonly known as the Southern Corridor. With the completion of the Trans Anatolian Pipeline (TANAP) and Trans Adriatic Pipeline (TAP), Azerbaijan is expected to open the Southern Corridor with first volumes to Turkey in 2019 and Italy in 2020. 

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
    • Azerbaijan’s gas production set to grow steadily, underpinned by the Shah Deniz Phase Two development
    • Kurdistan’s Miran West and Bina Bawi in line for exports
    • Iranian gas production potential significant when sanctions are lifted
    • Gas demand will grow moderately in Azerbaijan, forcing oil out of the domestic market
    • Kurdistan domestic demand will grow as stability returns to Iraq but will remain small, in absolute terms
    • Iran’s domestic demand will become a priority and return to growth with the lifting of sanctions
      • Pipe Export
    • Azerbaijan
      • Kurdistan
      • Iran
  • Contracts
  • Costs
    • Strategy
    • Recent Trends
    • Outlook
      • Medium term
      • Long term
  • Risks and uncertainties

Tables and charts

This report includes 16 images and tables including:

  • Map - key domestic and export infrastructure
  • Indigenous production potential*
  • Domestic demand by country
  • Export capacity
  • Existing contracts
  • Future contracts
  • Contracted exports vs export potential
  • Delivery cost into Italy (2030)
  • Available export volumes vs available export capacity
  • Turkish gas imports
  • Export outlook v export potential
  • Export supply mix
  • Existing pipelines
  • Planned pipelines
  • Available export volumes vs available export capacity
  • Available export volumes vs available export capacity

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    global gas markets long term supply outlook southern corridor H1 2016.xls

    XLS 293.50 KB

  • Document

    Global gas markets long-term supply outlook - Southern Corridor - H1 2016

    PDF 1.33 MB

  • Document

    Global gas markets long-term supply outlook - Southern Corridor - H1 2016

    ZIP 1.40 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 1.06 MB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 100.69 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 84.54 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 100.99 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 108.44 KB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 106.38 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 95.03 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 105.14 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 81.08 KB

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