Commodity market report
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20 Pages

Hebei/Shandong/Liaoning gas markets long-term outlook H1 2016

Hebei/Shandong/Liaoning gas markets long-term outlook H1 2016

Report summary

Primarily due to the GDP downgrade, gas demand in this region by 2035 has been reduced by almost 10% since our H2 2015 forecast, with annualised average growth of around 6% through to 2035. 

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Hebei/Shandong/Liaoning gas markets long-term outlook H1 2016 PDF - 732.06 KB 20 Pages, 14 Tables, 17 Figures
  • HebeiShandongLiaoning Gas Data 2016H1.xls XLS - 690.34 KB


Volatility in oil markets and the growth of unconventional gas supply have created a high degree of uncertainty about future gas demand and the direction of gas prices.

This Gas Markets Long Term Outlook report forecasts future pricing, based on deep analysis of gas supply and demand fundamentals. Additionally, it addresses complex questions on gas flows, identifies future opportunities and informs fuel purchasing strategies.

Participants and investors can use this long term outlook report to understand gas markets and assess the impact of global gas dynamics and key market drivers.

Wood Mackenzie provides detailed supply, demand and price forecasts based on our integrated upstream, power, coal and LNG research. Our regional gas experts are based in the markets they analyse, providing comprehensive analyses of regional and global gas markets.

If you want to understand complex gas market dynamics and plan for the future, Wood Mackenzie is the premier resource to help you gain a clear, competitive advantage.

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
  • Infrastructure
  • Policy and regulation
  • Demand
    • Gas demand overview
    • Power sector gas demand
      • Power output
      • Power demand
    • Non-power demand - Hebei, Shangdong and Liaoning
      • Industry and chemicals
      • Residential and commercial (including winter space heating)
      • Transportation
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Supply-demand balance
      • Domestic supply allocation
      • Contracted and technical gas supply
      • Yet-to-find and unconventional gas supply
    • Pipeline gas
      • LNG
  • Costs
    • Supply cost stack
      • Weighted average cost of supply
  • Prices
    • End-user pricing

In this report there are 31 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Hebei-Shandong-Liaoning gas demand summary
    • Hebei-Shandong-Liaoning toal gas supply-demand balance summary
  • Economic outlook
    • Economic indicators: Hebei, Shandong and Liaoning
  • Infrastructure
    • Hebei-Shandong-Liaoning gas and power infrastructure map
  • Policy and regulation
    • Policy and regulation: Table 1
  • Demand
    • Hebei-Shandong-Liaoning total gas demand
    • Hebei-Shandong-Liaoning installed capacity by fuel type
    • Hebei-Shandong-Liaoning yearly output
    • Demand: Image 4
    • Hebei-Shandong-Liaoning power demand forecast
    • Hebei
    • Shangdong
    • Demand: Table 3
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Hebei-Shandong-Liaoning gas supply-demand balance
    • Contracted supply allocation
    • Uncontracted supply allocation
    • Yet-to-find domestic supply allocation
    • Hebei-Shandong-Liaoning unconventional gas demand
    • Shale gas by basin
    • CBM by basin
    • Hebei-Shandong-Liaoning import pipeline gas supply
    • LNG supply versus regas capacity
    • LNG Terminals
  • Costs
    • Hebei supply cost stack 2016
    • Hebei supply cost stack 2035
    • Shandong supply cost stack 2016
    • Shandong supply cost stack 2035
    • Liaoning supply cost stack 2016
    • Liaoning supply cost stack 2035
    • Hebei/Shandong/Liaoning weighted average cost of gas vs. competing fuels (2016 terms)
  • Prices
    • Hebei-Shandong-Liaoning end-user gas prices vs. competing fuels (Q1 2016)
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