Commodity market report
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20 Pages

India gas markets long-term outlook 2016


India gas markets long-term outlook 2016

Report summary

India's gas market started to show initial signs of recovery during the latter half of 2015. We expect this momentum to accelerate over the next few years with LNG falling below US$6/mmbtu and domestic gas production stabilising after a five year decline. This will improve capacity utilisation in the gas industry and drive appetite for further infrastructure investments. We forecast gas demand to increase from 48.5 bcm in 2015 to 71.6 bcm in 2020 as the period of low prices encourage infrastructure expansion and natural gas penetration across various parts of India. Longer-term, we forecast gas demand growth to average 4% p.a. to reach 131 bcm by 2035.

Key themes in this update:

  • Demand recovery could rekindle investments in gas infrastructure projects
  • Low gas prices caps recovery in gas production in the near term
  • Chain of upstream reforms could usher a new era of gas market development

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • India gas markets long-term outlook 2016 PDF - 590.01 KB 20 Pages, 5 Tables, 9 Figures
  • India gas markets long-term outlook 2016.xls XLS - 567.50 KB

Description

Volatility in oil markets and the growth of unconventional gas supply have created a high degree of uncertainty about future gas demand and the direction of gas prices.

This Gas Markets Long Term Outlook report forecasts future pricing, based on deep analysis of gas supply and demand fundamentals. Additionally, it addresses complex questions on gas flows, identifies future opportunities and informs fuel purchasing strategies.

Participants and investors can use this long term outlook report to understand gas markets and assess the impact of global gas dynamics and key market drivers.

Wood Mackenzie provides detailed supply, demand and price forecasts based on our integrated upstream, power, coal and LNG research. Our regional gas experts are based in the markets they analyse, providing comprehensive analyses of regional and global gas markets.

If you want to understand complex gas market dynamics and plan for the future, Wood Mackenzie is the premier resource to help you gain a clear, competitive advantage.

  • Executive summary
    • Key themes in this update:
  • Economic outlook
  • Market structure
    • Organisation
    • Competitive landscape
  • Policy and regulation
    • Key stakeholders
    • Energy policy
    • Upstream licensing
    • Gas pricing reform
    • Domestic gas allocation
  • Demand
    • Power sector
    • Non-power sectors
      • Industrial sector
      • Residential/commercial sector
      • Other sectors
  • Supply
    • Conventional gas
    • Unconventional gas
  • Infrastructure
    • Trans-national pipelines
    • LNG Regasification
      • Existing terminals
      • Projects under construction
      • Proposed projects
  • Contracts
  • Costs
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Contracted supply-demand gap
    • Supply-demand balance
      • Medium Term
      • Long Term
  • Prices

In this report there are 14 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Key infrastructure
  • Economic outlook
    • GDP Growth
  • Market structure
    • Key companies in India's gas industry
  • Policy and regulation
  • Demand
    • Gas demand by sector
  • Supply
    • Domestic gas supply
  • Infrastructure
    • Major pipeline networks - existing
    • Key pipelines - under development and proposed
    • Regas capacity by status
    • Contracted volumes
    • LNG import terminals
  • Contracts
  • Costs
    • Long run delivered costs of gas to India
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Supply-demand gap
    • Supply-demand balance
  • Prices
    • Snapshot of India's gas pricing mechanisms
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