Commodity Market Report

India gas markets long-term outlook 2016

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17 June 2016

India gas markets long-term outlook 2016

Report summary

India's gas market started to show initial signs of recovery during the latter half of 2015. We expect this momentum to accelerate over the next few years with LNG falling below US$6/mmbtu and domestic gas production stabilising after a five year decline. This will improve capacity utilisation in the gas industry and drive appetite for further infrastructure investments. We forecast gas demand to increase from 48.5 bcm in 2015 to 71.6 bcm in 2020 as the period of low prices encourage infrastructure expansion and natural gas penetration across various parts of India. Longer-term, we forecast gas demand growth to average 4% p.a. to reach 131 bcm by 2035. Key themes in this update: Demand recovery could rekindle investments in gas infrastructure projects Low gas prices caps recovery in gas production in the near term Chain of upstream reforms could usher a new era of gas market development

Table of contents

    • Key themes in this update:
  • Economic outlook
    • Organisation
    • Competitive landscape
    • Key stakeholders
    • Energy policy
    • Upstream licensing
    • Gas pricing reform
    • Domestic gas allocation
    • Power sector
    • Non-power sectors
      • Industrial sector
      • Residential/commercial sector
      • Other sectors
    • Conventional gas
    • Unconventional gas
    • Trans-national pipelines
    • LNG Regasification
      • Existing terminals
      • Projects under construction
      • Proposed projects
  • Contracts
  • Costs
    • Contracted supply-demand gap
    • Supply-demand balance
      • Medium Term
      • Long Term
  • Prices

Tables and charts

This report includes 14 images and tables including:

  • GDP Growth
  • Gas demand by sector
  • Domestic gas supply
  • Major pipeline networks - existing
  • Key pipelines - under development and proposed
  • Long run delivered costs of gas to India
  • Snapshot of India's gas pricing mechanisms
  • Key infrastructure
  • Key companies in India's gas industry
  • Regas capacity by status
  • Contracted volumes
  • Supply-demand gap
  • Supply-demand balance
  • LNG import terminals

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    India gas markets long-term outlook 2016.xls

    XLS 567.50 KB

  • Document

    India gas markets long-term outlook 2016

    PDF 590.01 KB

  • Document

    India gas markets long-term outlook 2016

    ZIP 754.05 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 302.20 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 57.39 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 93.65 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 98.01 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 102.00 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 89.43 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 118.29 KB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 60.72 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 95.54 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 106.19 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 96.50 KB

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