Commodity market report

Indonesia gas and LNG H2 2017 summary

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Report summary

Indonesia's gas market has seen an unexpected slow down this year. The country's gas demand growth is relatively flat, while its LNG demand fell by 15% to 2.4 mmtpa in 2017. The decline in demand was mainly driven by the lower-than-expected electricity sales this year, growing at merely 3.1% from 2016 compared to PLN's expectation of 8.3%. The disappointing power sales will have a longer term implications, as PLN seeks to reduce its long-term power demand outlook. This may result in the deferral of several power plant projects. As a lot of coal-fired power plants have signed PPAs with PLN, new gas-fired power plants will be the ones that are most impacted. The upcoming revision of PLN's power development plan is consistent with our more conservative view, bringing its demand growth closer to our assumption of 5.9% per year.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Indonesia gas data.xls

    XLS 1.72 MB

  • Document

    Indonesia LNG data.xls

    XLS 869.00 KB

  • Document

    Indonesia gas and LNG H2 2017 summary

    PDF 1.73 MB

  • Document

    Indonesia gas and LNG H2 2017 summary

    ZIP 2.16 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 1.57 MB

Table of contents

    • Low power demand impacting future gas projects
    • Soft gas demand in 2017, LNG consumption fell by 15%
    • MEMR revised price ceiling for gas
    • Improvements on Gross Split PSC
    • A mix of progress and setbacks on the upstream side
    • Updates on LNG regas projects
    • Key changes to analysis from H1 2017 publication
    • Content summary

Tables and charts

This report includes 4 images and tables including:

Images

  • Executive summary: Image 1
  • Indonesia gas demand forecast and the government's outlook
  • Indonesia LNG demand forecast and supply potential

Tables

  • Executive summary: Table 1

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