Commodity Market Report

Indonesia LNG long-term outlook H2 2020

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LNG demand fell by 36% in 2020, reversing growth in the past two years and bringing LNG demand close to 2017 level. Unlike its neighbouring countries, Indonesia prioritised its domestic pipeline production during a period of low gas demand in 2020. However, we expect LNG demand to start slight recovery throughout the decade to replace domestic gas production. Stronger growth will start in 2030 onwards, supported by the power sector as new-build coal faces challenges.

Table of contents

  • Key development since last report
  • LNG demand severely hit during the pandemic, but near-term growth still expected with the start of Jawa-1 integrated LNG-to-power project and continued decline in domestic production
  • Long-term LNG demand growth supported by power sector as new-build coal faces challenges and renewables start making headwind

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