Commodity market report
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14 Pages

LNG short-term trade and price outlook (Q4 2016)

LNG short-term trade and price outlook (Q4 2016)

Report summary

With November snow falling in Tokyo for the first time in 54 years a cold NE Asian winter will bring a much needed demand boost, to a market increasingly awash with new supply. However, with LNG production in 2017 forecast to be up 10.6% at 290 Mt, spot LNG prices will soon come under pressure.

Higher global LNG supply will result in European LNG imports doubling in 2017 to 50 bcm (36 Mt), and utilities struggling to offtake their annual ToP commitments from Russian contracts. This will result in subdued European spot prices and, with increasing Henry Hub prices, in some US LNG being uneconomic. For many in the industry there will be some stark choices to be made in 2017.

What's included?

This report includes 3 file(s)

  • LNG short-term trade and price outlook (Q4 2016) PDF - 417.08 KB 14 Pages, 0 Tables, 15 Figures
  • Appendix - LNG Short-term trade outlook Q4 2016 - Country demand details .pdf PDF - 310.01 KB
  • LNG short term trade and price outlook Q4 2016.xls XLS - 913.50 KB


As global energy demand rises, the market for liquefied natural gas (LNG) continues to expand. Set to increase by 50% between 2015 and 2020, the LNG market is one of the fastest growing in the world. This spectacular growth is transforming the market, with many new companies entering the sector and changing the industry landscape.

This LNG Short Term Outlook report provides an overview of LNG in the gas market.

LNG market participants and advisers can use this report to better understand the long-term role of this market in the global LNG business.

Offering bottom-up market analysis for over 150 LNG supply assets, 28 LNG-importing countries and more than 500 LNG contracts, Wood Mackenzie is the definitive and trusted resource for the LNG industry. We use our robust database and expert industry knowledge to help you understand the dynamics of the global LNG industry and identify emerging trends and opportunities.

  • Executive summary
    • LNG supply highlights
    • LNG demand highlights
    • European gas highlights
    • Price outlook/supply-demand balances
    • US LNG outlook
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Introduction
      • Global LNG fundamentals
      • LNG supply
    • LNG imports
      • Pacific
      • Atlantic
      • Pacific spot prices (Japan, DES)
    • European gas fundamentals
      • Key data
    • Flexible supply
    • European gas prices (NBP and TFF)

In this report there are 15 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Executive summary: Image 1
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Global LNG supply
    • LNG supply - year-on-year-change
    • Asia net LNG imports
    • Asia net LNG imports - year-on-year change
    • Americas, MENA and European net LNG imports
    • Americas, MENA and European net LNG imports - year -on-year change
    • Global LNG (excl. Northwest Europe) – quarter-on-quarter change
    • Spot prices and shipping differentials
    • Japan LNG spot price
    • Supply-demand balances: Image 10
    • French Nuclear Production
    • Storage inventories*
    • Russian imports
    • Gas Prices
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