Commodity Market Report

LNG short-term trade and price outlook (Q4 2017)

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29 November 2017

LNG short-term trade and price outlook (Q4 2017)

Report summary

The voracious appetite of China for LNG appears to know no bounds, but have Japan and South Korea had their fill? Imports have been outstripping demand in both countries in 2017. With storage going into the winter far higher than last year we expect LNG imports to fall for both in 2018. LNG supply growth will ease slightly next year adding “only” 27 Mt, but that is still more than China imported last year. New LNG plants could allow an additional 43 Mt of LNG supply in 2019, but we believe this is more than the market can absorb and some of it will be shut-in. Find out how much is shut-in and what the impact on LNG and gas prices will be in our Q4 2017 short-term LNG outlook.  

Table of contents

    • Global LNG fundamentals
      • LNG supply highlights
      • LNG demand highlights
      • Key market data
      • Price outlook/supply-demand balances
      • Asia LNG supply and demand balance and spot price premium over European price
    • European gas fundamentals
      • Key data
    • Gas demand
    • Gas supply
    • European gas prices (NBP and TTF)
      • Gas Prices

Tables and charts

This report includes 8 images and tables including:

  • Storage inventories*
  • Russian imports
  • Executive summary: Table 1
  • Henry Hub, Japan LNG spot, NBP and TTF Prices
  • Economics of US LNG to Europe
  • Executive summary: Image 3
  • Executive summary: Table 2
  • Executive summary: Image 6

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    LNG ST Report Demand Q4 2017.pdf

    PDF 279.49 KB

  • Document

    LNG short term trade and price outlook Q4 2017.xls

    XLS 926.00 KB

  • Document

    LNG short-term trade and price outlook (Q4 2017)

    PDF 357.43 KB

  • Document

    LNG short-term trade and price outlook (Q4 2017)

    ZIP 931.86 KB

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