Commodity market report
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17 Pages

Netherlands gas markets long-term outlook H2 2015


Netherlands gas markets long-term outlook H2 2015

Report summary

Mild weather saw gas demand in the Netherlands decline by 17% in the first part of 2014. High production in 2013 will see reduced output from Groningen over the next few years as a consequence of the ten year production cap. The TTF is increasingly becoming the reference pricing point by many market players throughout Europe. We expect Dutch gas prices to increase over the next few years before a global oversupply leads to a price collapse around 2020, before recovering in the longer term.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Netherlands gas markets long-term outlook H2 2015 PDF - 658.92 KB 17 Pages, 0 Tables, 18 Figures
  • Netherlands Gas H2 2015.xls XLS - 837.50 KB

Description

Volatility in oil markets and the growth of unconventional gas supply have created a high degree of uncertainty about future gas demand and the direction of gas prices.

This Gas Markets Long Term Outlook report forecasts future pricing, based on deep analysis of gas supply and demand fundamentals. Additionally, it addresses complex questions on gas flows, identifies future opportunities and informs fuel purchasing strategies.

Participants and investors can use this long term outlook report to understand gas markets and assess the impact of global gas dynamics and key market drivers.

Wood Mackenzie provides detailed supply, demand and price forecasts based on our integrated upstream, power, coal and LNG research. Our regional gas experts are based in the markets they analyse, providing comprehensive analyses of regional and global gas markets.

If you want to understand complex gas market dynamics and plan for the future, Wood Mackenzie is the premier resource to help you gain a clear, competitive advantage.

  • Executive summary
    • Recent trends
    • Outlook summary
  • Demand
    • Recent events and short term outlook
    • Forecast summary
    • Power
    • Residential
    • Commercial
    • Industrial
    • Other
  • Supply
  • Infrastructure
    • Pipelines
      • Existing pipeline infrastructure
      • New pipeline infrastructure
    • LNG infrastructure
    • Storage
  • Contracts
    • Piped imports: historical flows and contracts
      • Recent trends
      • Contracts
    • LNG imports: historical flows and contracts
      • Recent trends
      • Contracts
    • Gas exports: historical flows and contracts
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Supply demand gap
    • Gas flows into the Netherlands
  • Costs
  • Prices
    • The title transfer facility (TTF) and price development
      • TTF Hub price forecast

In this report there are 18 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Netherlands Gas Price Forecast
    • Gas Flows into Netherlands
  • Demand
    • Gas demand by sector 2005 to 2035
  • Supply
    • Gas production profile (2005-2035)
  • Infrastructure
    • Infrastructure: Image 1
    • Existing import capacity
    • Existing export capacity
  • Contracts
    • Historical piped imports
    • Netherlands contracted piped imports
    • Historical LNG Imports
    • Netherlands contracted LNG imports
    • Historical piped exports
    • Netherlands contracted piped exports
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Supply-demand gap
    • Gas flows into the Netherlands
    • Netherlands export and transit gas flows
  • Costs
    • Long run delivered costs of gas to Netherlands
  • Prices
    • Annual gas prices (real 2014)
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