Commodity Market Report

Netherlands gas markets long-term outlook October 2017

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27 October 2017

Netherlands gas markets long-term outlook October 2017

Report summary

The gas balance in the Netherlands is increasingly affected by the State Council's production cap at Groningen. This cap has been set on an annual, or semi-annual basis since 2015. In June 2016 the State Council ordered a cap of 24 bcm over the next six years, with 6 bcma extra being allowed in a cold gas year.  This ruling was applied to the 2016/2017 gas year.  However, in April 2017 the government announced a further reduction of 10 per cent in the Groningen production cap, reducing allowed production to 21.6 bcm for the 2017/2018 gas year. The maximum output in an exceptionally cold winter has also been reduced to 27 bcm.  Further reductions in production could be announced in future as the government reviews the impact of lower production targets.

Table of contents

    • Recent trends
    • Outlook summary
    • Recent events and short term outlook
    • Forecast summary
    • Power
    • Residential
    • Commercial
    • Industrial
    • Other
    • Gas production profile (2010-2035)
    • Pipelines
      • Existing pipeline infrastructure
      • New pipeline infrastructure
    • LNG infrastructure
    • Storage
    • Piped imports: historical flows and contracts
      • Recent trends
      • Contracts
    • LNG imports: historical flows and contracts
      • Recent trends
      • Contracts
    • Gas exports: historical flows and contracts
    • Supply demand gap
    • Gas flows into the Netherlands
  • Costs
    • The title transfer facility (TTF) and price development
      • TTF Hub price forecast

Tables and charts

This report includes 18 images and tables including:

  • Infrastructure: Image 1
  • Existing import capacity
  • Existing export capacity
  • Long run delivered costs of gas to Netherlands
  • Netherlands Gas Price Forecast
  • Gas Flows into Netherlands
  • Gas demand by sector 2010 to 2035
  • Supply: Image 1
  • Historical piped exports
  • Netherlands contracted piped exports
  • Supply-demand gap
  • Gas flows into the Netherlands
  • Netherlands export and transit gas flows
  • Historical piped imports
  • Netherlands contracted piped imports
  • Historical LNG Imports
  • Netherlands contracted LNG imports
  • Annual gas prices (real 2017)

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Netherlands Gas 1H2017.xls

    XLS 1.17 MB

  • Document

    Netherlands gas markets long-term outlook H1 2017

    PDF 626.22 KB

  • Document

    Netherlands gas markets long-term outlook H1 2017

    ZIP 923.99 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 90.30 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 113.23 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 84.28 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 304.91 KB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 107.44 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 98.58 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 155.42 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 85.28 KB

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