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North America gas long-term outlook H2 2015 CPP & No Carbon case


North America gas long-term outlook H2 2015 CPP & No Carbon case

Report summary

In this comparison of our H2 2015 Clean Power Plan (CPP) and No Carbon Case results, we found that the Northeast and Haynesville experience delayed development as a result of weaker gas-fired generation in our No Carbon Case. Natural gas may displace coal generation beginning in 2019, but the strength of that displacement varies: in our CPP case, natural gas generation averages 41% of total US generation from 2022 on, while in the No Carbon Case, it is used in only 33%. CPP also supports gas prices by about $0.46/mmbtu on average from 2022 to 2035, and correspondingly, coal demand is 215 Mst higher in the No Carbon Case post-2021.

What's included?

This report includes 13 file(s)

  • NAGS No Carbon Case Combined.pdf PDF - 1.35 MB
  • CPP NAGS LTO Demand Breakout Fall 2015.xls XLS - 1.51 MB
  • CPP NAGS LTO Infrastructure Fall 2015.xls XLS - 157.50 KB
  • CPP NAGS LTO LNG Breakout Fall 2015.xls XLS - 793.00 KB
  • CPP NAGS LTO Price Outlook Fall 2015.xls XLS - 780.50 KB
  • CPP NAGS LTO Supply and Demand Balances Fall 2015.xls XLS - 911.50 KB
  • CPP NAGS Supply Breakout Fall 2015 H2.xls XLS - 722.50 KB
  • No Carbon NAGS LTO Demand Breakout Fall 2015.xls XLS - 1.51 MB
  • No Carbon NAGS LTO Infrastructure Fall 2015.xls XLS - 157.00 KB
  • No Carbon NAGS LTO LNG Breakout Fall 2015.xls XLS - 793.00 KB
  • No Carbon NAGS LTO Price Outlook Fall 2015.xls XLS - 416.14 KB
  • No Carbon NAGS LTO Supply and Demand Balances Fall 2015.xls XLS - 911.50 KB
  • No Carbon NAGS Supply Breakout Fall 2015 H2.xls XLS - 722.00 KB

Description

Volatility in oil markets and the growth of unconventional gas supply have created a high degree of uncertainty about future gas demand and the direction of gas prices.

This Gas Markets Long Term Outlook report forecasts future pricing, based on deep analysis of gas supply and demand fundamentals. Additionally, it addresses complex questions on gas flows, identifies future opportunities and informs fuel purchasing strategies.

Participants and investors can use this long term outlook report to understand gas markets and assess the impact of global gas dynamics and key market drivers.

Wood Mackenzie provides detailed supply, demand and price forecasts based on our integrated upstream, power, coal and LNG research. Our regional gas experts are based in the markets they analyse, providing comprehensive analyses of regional and global gas markets.

If you want to understand complex gas market dynamics and plan for the future, Wood Mackenzie is the premier resource to help you gain a clear, competitive advantage.

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