Commodity Market Report

North America gas markets short-term outlook August 2015

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31 August 2015

North America gas markets short-term outlook August 2015

Report summary

For years now, increased competition between coal and gas power plants has reduced volatility in summer gas prices. The August natural gas futures contract averaged $2.81/mmbtu in the last 30 days before settlement. The range during that period was only 23 cents. Over the last 15 years, the next smallest trading range in the last month of an August contract was 41 cents in 2011.

Table of contents

    • Could low oil prices signal upside to gas prices in 2016 and 2017?
    • Storage
    • Supply details
    • Industrial
    • Economy
      • Power
    • Northeast basis
      • Northeast basis and production: storage means weakness for the balance of summer
      • 2016-’17: Latest well results suggest basis pressure will be more prolonged
    • Canada
    • Mexico

Tables and charts

This report includes 11 images and tables including:

  • Key supply metrics and indicators
  • Lower 48 Dry Gas Production by Unconventional Play
  • Short term price outlook
  • Henry Hub price outlook
  • US supply-demand outlook (bcfd)
  • SD imbalance is about .3 bcfd looser than normal
  • US storage inventories (bcf)
  • Demand: Image 1
  • Canada supply-demand outlook (bcfd)
  • Forecasted Coal Deliveries
  • Northeast supply vs demand, storage and exit capacity

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Basis Outlook.xls

    XLS 132.00 KB

  • Document

    Demand Detail.xls

    XLS 2.40 MB

  • Document

    Industrial Index.xls

    XLS 121.50 KB

  • Document

    LNG Detail.xls

    XLS 230.50 KB

  • Document

    NGL Price Outlook.xls

    XLS 106.00 KB

  • Document

    Northeast Takeaway Capacity.xls

    XLS 458.50 KB

  • Document

    Power Demand Curve.xls

    XLS 102.00 KB

  • Document

    Price Outlook.xls

    XLS 140.00 KB

  • Document

    Storage Outlook.xls

    XLS 142.50 KB

  • Document

    Supply Demand Balances.xls

    XLS 313.50 KB

  • Document

    Supply Detail.xls

    XLS 430.00 KB

  • Document

    North America gas markets short-term outlook August 2015

    PDF 424.10 KB

  • Document

    North America gas markets short-term outlook August 2015

    ZIP 2.76 MB

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