Commodity market report

North America gas markets short-term outlook October 2016

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Report summary

All eyes are on the winter weather forecasts as US production, coal markets, and net exports all signal bullish prices. Under normal weather, residential, commercial and industrial markets will add about 6 bcfd of demand over last year. A few early Northeast pipeline arrivals, and a DUC drawdown aren't enough to offset anaemic drilling levels and production heading into the injection season, but we expect a production recovery next year, as gas rigs are being added back. While added renewables take some of the pressure off of fossil generating capacity, rising gas prices will allow coal to recapture some market share, even if the industry has to reinvigorate idled equipment and miners.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Basis Outlook.xls

    XLS 132.00 KB

  • Document

    Demand Detail.xls

    XLS 670.00 KB

  • Document

    Industrial Index.xls

    XLS 121.00 KB

  • Document

    LNG Detail incl Export.xls

    XLS 221.00 KB

  • Document

    Northeast Takeaway Capacity.xls

    XLS 488.00 KB

  • Document

    Power Demand Curve.xls

    XLS 113.50 KB

  • Document

    Price Outlook.xls

    XLS 136.00 KB

  • Document

    Storage Outlook.xls

    XLS 149.00 KB

  • Document

    Supply Demand Balances.xls

    XLS 305.50 KB

  • Document

    Supply Detail.xls

    XLS 279.50 KB

  • Document

    NGL Price Outlook.xls

    XLS 116.50 KB

  • Document

    North America gas markets short-term outlook October 2016

    PDF 588.20 KB

  • Document

    North America gas markets short-term outlook October 2016

    ZIP 2.03 MB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 12 images and tables including:


  • SD imbalance is about 2.7 bcfd tighter than normal
  • Lower 48 dry gas production forecast
  • Feedgas projections by terminal
  • Leading indicators
  • Flows on Northeast routes recently expanded
  • Basis outlook


  • US storage inventories (bcf)
  • Key supply metrics and indicators
  • Executive summary: Table 1
  • Executive summary: Table 2
  • Canada supply-demand outlook (bcfd)
  • Mexico supply-demand outlook (bcfd)

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