Commodity Market Report

North America gas short-term outlook April 2018: summer bulls stretch their legs

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Report summary

After the second coldest April in 30 years, storage levels will sit at about 500 bcf below the five-year average at the end of the month. The market's target for an end of injection season inventory level is the main question, and it appears more and more likely that the injection pace will need to be the strongest it's been since 2014 in order to reach normal levels. We see disproportionate upside risk to the summer forward curve, and while the injection season walks this tightrope, further supply-demand growth mismatches will only increase price volatility in the upcoming months. 

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Basis Outlook.xls

    XLS 128.00 KB

  • Document

    Demand Detail.xls

    XLS 698.00 KB

  • Document

    Industrial Index.xls

    XLS 124.00 KB

  • Document

    LNG Detail incl Export.xls

    XLS 229.00 KB

  • Document

    NGL Price Outlook.xls

    XLS 205.50 KB

  • Document

    Northeast Takeaway Capacity.xls

    XLS 539.00 KB

  • Document

    Power Demand Curve.xls

    XLS 125.00 KB

  • Document

    Price Outlook.xls

    XLS 136.50 KB

  • Document

    Storage Outlook.xls

    XLS 156.00 KB

  • Document

    Supply Demand Balances.xls

    XLS 315.50 KB

  • Document

    Supply Detail.xlsx

    XLSX 213.59 KB

  • Document

    North America gas short-term outlook April 2018: summer bulls stretch their legs

    PDF 577.55 KB

  • Document

    North America gas short-term outlook April 2018: summer bulls stretch their legs

    ZIP 2.12 MB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 14 images and tables including:

Tables

  • US storage inventories (bcf)
  • Key supply metrics and indicators
  • Executive summary: Table 1
  • US supply-demand outlook (bcfd)
  • Canada supply-demand outlook (bcfd)
  • Regional: Table 2

Images

  • Impact to Henry Hub forecast relative to the previous STO
  • Weather-adjusted injections need to loosen
  • Supply: Image 1
  • Supply: Image 2
  • Henry Hub price outlook
  • Feedgas projections by terminal
  • Dominion South Basis
  • Basis outlook

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