Commodity Market Report

North America gas short-term outlook December 2017: winter is not over yet

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Report summary

To many in the gas market, winter might feel like it has already come and gone, with the recent collapse of the NYMEX winter strip. And while we have lowered our price forecast for the winter from last month because of the loosening fundamentals from the last few weeks, we do expect more upside risk to the NYMEX curve and view the winter market as slightly undervalued. Both supply and demand are expected to ramp up significantly in the next few months, but mis-matched timing could create additional price volatility. 

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Basis Outlook.xls

    XLS 131.50 KB

  • Document

    Demand Detail.xls

    XLS 697.50 KB

  • Document

    Industrial Index.xls

    XLS 124.00 KB

  • Document

    LNG Detail incl Export.xls

    XLS 228.50 KB

  • Document

    NGL Price Outlook.xls

    XLS 118.50 KB

  • Document

    Northeast Takeaway Capacity.xls

    XLS 538.50 KB

  • Document

    Power Demand Curve.xls

    XLS 125.00 KB

  • Document

    Price Outlook.xls

    XLS 136.50 KB

  • Document

    Storage Outlook.xls

    XLS 156.00 KB

  • Document

    Supply Demand Balances.xls

    XLS 315.50 KB

  • Document

    Supply Detail.xlsx

    XLSX 214.75 KB

  • Document

    North America gas short-term outlook December 2017: winter is not over yet

    PDF 500.40 KB

  • Document

    North America gas short-term outlook December 2017: winter is not over yet

    ZIP 2.03 MB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 14 images and tables including:

Tables

  • US storage inventories (bcf)
  • Executive summary: Table 1
  • Executive summary: Table 2
  • FERC certificates for Northeast pipeline projects in 2017: scheduled vs issued
  • Canada supply-demand outlook (bcfd)
  • Regional: Table 3

Images

  • Weather adjusted injections 2 bcfd below normal
  • Supply: Image 1
  • Supply: Image 2
  • Daily degree day index
  • US coal delivery by contract type and length (Mst)
  • Feedgas projections by terminal
  • Price outlook and destinations for Northeast supply
  • Regional: Image 2

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