Commodity Market Report

North America gas short-term outlook June 2019: will power and production sensitivity respond to even lower Henry Hub prices?

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20 June 2019

North America gas short-term outlook June 2019: will power and production sensitivity respond to even lower Henry Hub prices?

Report summary

Prices are searching for a floor yet again as six consecutive triple digit weekly storage injections have knocked the wind out of Henry Hub. The last time prices were this low was in 2016, when a mild winter left March stocks high. Then, however, economic production shut-ins and coal displacement rebound prices to over $3.00/mmbtu by October. Is it too early to "throw in the towel" on the summer yet? A little heat, the price sensitivity of power burns and potential production shut-ins could give a boost to Henry Hub.

Table of contents

  • Record storage injections due to summertime blues continue to put significant downward pressure on Henry Hub prices searching for a floor again.
  • Northeast production growth continues to underperform amidst more pipeline woes.
  • Key fundamental signposts that provide risk to our price outlook include:

Tables and charts

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What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    North North America gas short-term outlook June 2019 will power and production sensitivity respond to even lower Henry Hub prices.pdf

    PDF 462.90 KB

  • Document

    Power Demand Curve.xls

    XLS 182.50 KB

  • Document

    Price Outlook.xls

    XLS 121.00 KB

  • Document

    Storage Outlook.xls

    XLS 159.50 KB

  • Document

    Supply Demand Balances.xls

    XLS 309.50 KB

  • Document

    Supply Detail.xlsx

    XLSX 242.76 KB

  • Document

    Basis Outlook.xls

    XLS 112.00 KB

  • Document

    Demand Detail.xls

    XLS 734.50 KB

  • Document

    Industrial Index.xls

    XLS 111.00 KB

  • Document

    LNG Detail incl Export.xls

    XLS 233.50 KB

  • Document

    NGL Price Outlook.xls

    XLS 176.00 KB

  • Document

    Northeast Takeaway Capacity.xls

    XLS 607.00 KB

  • Document

    North America gas short-term outlook June 2019: will power and production sensitivity respond to even lower Henry Hub prices?

    ZIP 2.12 MB

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