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Reforms boost LNG's prospects: China gas market long-term outlook H2 2016

Reforms boost LNG's prospects: China gas market long-term outlook H2 2016

Report summary

The recovery in China’s gas market is restoring industry confidence. Accelerated reforms pushing down end-user prices, clearer policies aimed at supporting gas demand, and recovery in oil prices will combine to improve the demand outlook through the medium and long term. Domestic unconventional supply faces serious challenges – so won’t ramp up significantly through the medium term. Central Asian piped imports will continue struggling economically in their major markets along the coast. LNG will be the winner: its delivered cost advantage is sharpening as pricing liberalisation moves on, and emerging buyers are pushing hard to create LNG demand. This update provides our latest long-term outlook for China gas demand and supply.

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  • China Gas Data.xls XLS - 1.82 MB


Volatility in oil markets and the growth of unconventional gas supply have created a high degree of uncertainty about future gas demand and the direction of gas prices.

This Gas Markets Long Term Outlook report forecasts future pricing, based on deep analysis of gas supply and demand fundamentals. Additionally, it addresses complex questions on gas flows, identifies future opportunities and informs fuel purchasing strategies.

Participants and investors can use this long term outlook report to understand gas markets and assess the impact of global gas dynamics and key market drivers.

Wood Mackenzie provides detailed supply, demand and price forecasts based on our integrated upstream, power, coal and LNG research. Our regional gas experts are based in the markets they analyse, providing comprehensive analyses of regional and global gas markets.

If you want to understand complex gas market dynamics and plan for the future, Wood Mackenzie is the premier resource to help you gain a clear, competitive advantage.

  • Executive summary
    • Demand recovery has gained a firm foothold
    • Gas sector reforms have been accelerated…
    • …and will benefit demand for LNG more than other supply sources
    • Emerging buyers will play a key role in creating LNG demand
    • Downside risks to unconventional gas targets remain
    • Competitiveness of piped gas imports are challenged
    • What's changed – H1 v. H2
    • Related reports

In this report there are 10 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
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