Commodity Market Report

Sichuan/Chongqing gas markets long-term outlook H1 2016

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29 July 2016

Sichuan/Chongqing gas markets long-term outlook H1 2016

Report summary

The GDP downgrade has had a substantial impact on gas demand in this region both short and long term since the region is heavily dependent on investment and industry. Total gas demand in Sichuan and Chongqing in 2035 has been reduced to 64 bcm – a 15% downgrade compared with our H2 2015 forecast.

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
  • Infrastructure
  • Policy and regulation
    • Gas demand overview
      • Sichuan-Chongqing total gas demand
    • Power sector gas demand
      • Installed power capacity
      • Power demand
    • Non power demand
      • Industry and chemicals
      • Residential and commercial
      • Transportation
    • Supply-demand balance
      • Domestic supply allocation
      • Contracted and technical supply
      • Yet-to-find and unconventional supply
    • Imported gas supply allocation
      • Pipeline gas
    • Supply cost stack
    • End-user pricing

Tables and charts

This report includes 23 images and tables including:

  • Sichuan-Chongqing total gas demand summary
  • Economic indicators: Sichuan and Chongqing
  • Sichuan-Chongqing gas and power infrastructure map
  • Policy and regulation: Table 1
  • Sichuan gas demand by sector
  • Demand: Table 4
  • Sichuan-Chongqing gas supply-demand balance
  • Sichuan supply cost stack 2016
  • Sichuan supply cost stack 2035
  • Chongqing supply cost stack 2016
  • Chongqing supply cost stack 2035
  • Weighted average cost of supply
  • Sichuan and Chongqing end user prices versus competing fuels (Q1 2016)
  • Demand: Image 1
  • Sichuan-Chongqing installed capacity by fuel type
  • Power output
  • Demand: Image 3
  • Demand: Table 2
  • Sichuan-Chongqing power demand forecast
  • Contracted domestic supply allocation
  • Uncontracted domestic supply allocation
  • Sichuan-Chongqing unconventional gas demand
  • Sichuan-Chongqing import pipeline gas supply

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    SichuanChongqing Gas Data 2016H1.xls

    XLS 597.49 KB

  • Document

    Sichuan/Chongqing gas markets long-term outlook H1 2016

    PDF 626.41 KB

  • Document

    Sichuan/Chongqing gas markets long-term outlook H1 2016

    ZIP 778.59 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 81.76 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 78.11 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 364.10 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 82.52 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 119.33 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 108.44 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 84.85 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 80.82 KB

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