Commodity market report

United Kingdom gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

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Report summary

Despite some upside from power overall 2014 gas demand is forecast to decrease 7% against 2013 levels. As oil prices remain weak we expect NBP spot prices to be supported by the switching cost of coal to gas in the power sector. We continue to anticipate an oversupplied market around 2020 before prices recover in the longer term as Europe's import requirement grows.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    EGAPS UK Gas H2 2014.xls

    XLS 1.40 MB

  • Document

    United Kingdom gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

    PDF 1.08 MB

  • Document

    United Kingdom gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

    ZIP 1.44 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 99.64 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 90.41 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 101.93 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 81.73 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 128.42 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 82.83 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 674.66 KB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 111.37 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 112.17 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 114.43 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 115.09 KB

  • Document

    Margins

    PDF 84.35 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
  • Market structure
  • Policy and regulation
  • Demand
  • Supply
  • Infrastructure
  • Contracts
  • Supply-demand balances
  • Costs
  • Prices
  • Margins

Tables and charts

This report includes 52 images and tables including:

Images

  • Infrastructure: Image 1
  • UK gas price forecast
  • Gas flows into UK
  • GDP forecast - UK
  • UK Production Gas Suppliers' Market Share in 2012
  • UK Gas Suppliers' Market Share in 2012
  • Domestic Gas Suppliers' Market 2012 (number of customers)
  • Non-Domestic Gas Suppliers' Market Share 2012 (number of customers)
  • Supply: Image 1
  • Existing import capacity
  • Existing export capacity
  • Historical piped imports
  • UK contracted piped imports
  • Contracts: Image 3
  • Historical LNG imports
  • UK contracted LNG imports
  • Historical piped exports
  • UK contracted piped exports
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 1
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 2
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 3
  • Norway flows to UK by entry point
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 5
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 6
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 7
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 8
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 9
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 10
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 11
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 12
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 13
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 14
  • Costs: Image 1
  • Development of gas trading in the UK
  • Household sector gross margins (2007-2013)
  • Household sector cost breakdown 2008-2012
  • Industrial sector gross margins (2007-2013)
  • Demand: Image 1
  • Demand: Image 2
  • Demand: Image 3
  • Existing Infrastructure - Gas Storage (volume in mcm)
  • Forecast import capacity
  • Forecast export capacity
  • Planned gas storage (Volume in mcm)
  • Prices: Image 1
  • Historical consumer prices (2007-2013)

Tables

  • Economic outlook: Table 1
  • Policy and regulation: Table 1
  • Policy and regulation: Table 2
  • Entry capacity charges 2014 to 2016
  • Exit capacity charges 2013/2014
  • Costs: Table 3

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