Commodity Market Report

United Kingdom gas markets long-term outlook H2 2015

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15 February 2016

United Kingdom gas markets long-term outlook H2 2015

Report summary

Economic activity, temperature and coal to gas competition will continue to influence gas demand over the short-term. Continued growth in renewable capacity and an increase in nuclear generation capacity will limit gas demand in the power sector post 2024.  Furthermore, a limited scope for coal to gas switching, alongside the switch to more efficient CCGT plants, will result in lower usage in the power sector and add to the long-term decline of gas demand in non-power sectors. Total UK gas demand is forecast to decline at an average rate of 0.4% a year from 2015 to 2035.

Table of contents

    • Key changes and recent trends
      • Gas demand supported by power sector, but long-term decline still expected
      • Higher LNG imports counter declining indigenous production
      • Economics of coal to gas switching still underpin UK and European spot prices
        • Links to related reports

Tables and charts

This report includes 2 images and tables including:

  • UK gas price forecast
  • Gas flows into the UK

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    United Kingdom gas markets long-term outlook H1 2015.pdf

    PDF 959.16 KB

  • Document

    United Kingdom Gas H2 2015.xls

    XLS 963.00 KB

  • Document

    United Kingdom gas markets long-term outlook H2 2015

    PDF 284.64 KB

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    ZIP 1.39 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 109.50 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 123.16 KB

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