Commodity Market Report

Indonesia LNG long-term outlook 2017: Will the demand growth resume?

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20 November 2017

Indonesia LNG long-term outlook 2017: Will the demand growth resume?

Report summary

Indonesia's LNG demand had grown strongly, from 0.7 mmtpa in 2012 to 2.8 mmtpa in 2016. But the demand growth stopped in 2017, amid soft power consumption in H1 2017. Power demand grew by only 2.5% in the first six months of 2017 compared to the same period last year, lower than PLN's expectation of 8.7%. This was mainly due to the higher power tariffs which created response from industrial customers. Going forward, we expect demand to continue to grow, as domestic gas infrastructure is expanded and more LNG import terminals are developed. New gas-fired power pant projects, which are being developed by PLN and independent power producers (IPPs), will create considerable gas demand upside and  LNG is increasingly required to backfill the declining piped gas supply particularly in West Java and North Sumatra. We expect softer LNG demand during 2021-2025 due to competition from coal in the power sector. Post-2025 LNG demand looks robust.

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
    • Current LNG Status and Access
    • Future LNG Terminal Development
      • Under-construction
      • Proposed
    • Recent contracts
      • Domestic volumes
      • International volumes
        • Contracted LNG supply position vs regasification capacity
    • Historical Imports
    • Short term LNG outlook
    • Medium & long term LNG outlook
    • Regasification tariffs
    • Key LNG players
    • TPA and regas tariffs
    • Domestic Market Obligation (DMO)
    • LNG import policy

Tables and charts

This report includes 10 images and tables including:

  • Key facts
  • Infrastructure map
  • Infrastructure: Table 1
  • LNG contracts
  • LNG Imports
  • LNG Seasonality
  • Costs: Image 1
  • Trade: Image 3
  • Market structure: Table 1
  • Contracts: Image 1

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    01 data indonesia.xls

    XLS 365.50 KB

  • Document

    Indonesia LNG long-term outlook 2017: Will the demand growth resume?

    PDF 2.71 MB

  • Document

    Indonesia LNG long-term outlook 2017: Will the demand growth resume?

    ZIP 2.81 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 104.53 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 2.47 MB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 104.62 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 116.73 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 105.09 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 90.20 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 82.95 KB