Commodity Market Report

Indonesia LNG long-term outlook 2019

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Indonesia LNG long-term outlook 2019 This report presents Woodmac's view of the LNG supply-demand in Indonesia, including regas and liquefaction projects, LNG contracts and market structure. Key highlights • Indonesia's LNG demand to reach 5.7 mmtpa in 2020 and 9.5 mmtpa by 2024. • The discovery of 2 tcf in Kali Berau Dalam coinciding with the start of a few international LNG contracts will bring Indonesia to be overcontracted on LNG imports between 2020 and 2028. Overcontracted volumes may surpass 2 mmtpa between 2020 and 2023. • Indonesia to start importing LNG from Cheniere's Corpus Christi and from Woodside portfolio in 2019. In 2020, the country will start importing from Total's LNG portfolio. • Pertamina-PGN merger: by the end of 2018, a rough outline of the future strategic direction for both organisations was beginning to take shape. Pertamina will concentrate on maintaining the upstream assets. PGN will focus on gas trading.

Table of contents

  • LNG supply-demand
  • Implications of the Pertamina-PGN merger
  • Policy
  • Regas
  • Upstream gas developments
  • Abadi and Sengkang slowly progressing
  • Infrastructure access
    • Other existing LNG infrastructure
    • Under construction
    • Large-scale regas
    • Small-scale regas
    • Proposed
    • Large-scale regas
    • Small-scale regas
    • Cancelled
    • Large-scale regas
    • Small-scale regas
  • Domestic volumes
  • International volumes
  • Future supply
  • Historical LNG consumption
  • Seasonal profile
    • Bontang LNG
    • Tangguh LNG
    • Donggi-Senoro LNG
    • Sengkang LNG
    • Abadi LNG
    • Short and medium-term LNG outlook
    • Long-term LNG outlook
    • Regasification tariffs
  • Key LNG players
  • Third-party access and regas tariffs
  • Domestic market obligation (DMO)
    • LNG pricing
  • Downstream gas prices

Tables and charts

This report includes 23 images and tables including:

  • Overcontracted volumes
  • Infrastructure map
  • Regional map
  • LNG import terminals
  • Terminals by region
  • Proposed terminals
  • LNG throughput by regas terminal
  • LNG supply position vs LNG demand and regasification capacity
  • LNG throughput by source
  • Seasonality
  • Regas facilities ownership
  • Liquefaction facilities ownership
  • LNG contracts
  • LNG contracts price
  • Indonesia LNG production outlook*
  • Bontang LNG production outlook*
  • Tangguh LNG production outlook*
  • DSLNG LNG production outlook*
  • Sengkang LNG production outlook*
  • Abadi LNG production outlook*
  • LNG demand by region and regas capacity
  • LNG domestic and import contracts volumes by contract type
  • Breakeven cost stack of potential LNG supplies into market

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Indonesia LNG long-term outlook 2019

    ZIP 1.77 MB

  • Document

    Indonesia LNG data.xls

    XLS 793.00 KB