Commodity Market Report

United States LNG demand long-term outlook 2015

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05 October 2015

United States LNG demand long-term outlook 2015

Report summary

With the largest natural gas market in the world, the US may have once looked like an attractive end destination for LNG cargos. Since the shale revolution, it has largely become self-sufficient, and LNG demand has been rendered moot, for the most part. We expect this trend to continue in the near future, and cargos will be diverted to markets that provide higher returns, except in the US Northeast, where pipeline constraints make use of the Everett terminal during high-demand seasons. For the most part, however, the US import market will remain quiet, and we expect the country to become a net LNG exporter next year.

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
    • Network and infrastructure overview
    • Current LNG status and access
    • Future LNG terminal development
    • LNG demand outlook
    • Indigenous production
  • Contracts
    • How are gas prices set?
    • Price outlook
    • Transportation tariffs
    • Regasification tariffs
    • Offshore vs onshore facilities
      • Offshore facilities (Deepwater Ports)
      • Onshore facilities
    • Open access vs. closed access
      • Open access
      • Closed access
    • Operational cooling cargos

Tables and charts

This report includes 9 images and tables including:

  • Executive summary: Table 1
  • LNG regasification terminals
  • Indigenous gas supply and demand
  • LNG SPA contracts
  • Contracted LNG supply position vs available regas capacity
  • LNG import terminals (operational)
  • Contracted LNG import outlook vs demand
  • Henry Hub price outlook
  • Breakeven cost stack of potential LNG supplies into market

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    01 Markets US FINAL.xls

    XLS 477.00 KB

  • Document

    United States LNG demand long-term outlook 2015

    PDF 680.69 KB

  • Document

    United States LNG demand long-term outlook 2015

    ZIP 907.85 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 100.68 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 415.71 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 57.17 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 78.12 KB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 98.29 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 98.84 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 120.61 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 91.67 KB

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