Commodity market report
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3 Pages

Australia exchange rate outlook Q3 2015

Australia exchange rate outlook Q3 2015

Report summary

The Australian dollar has depreciated by 35% in the past four years, reflecting changing monetary policy, falling export prices and a sharp fall in capital investment into natural resources. Is further depreciation likely? The drivers of recent depreciation will continue to be a factor, but increasing export volumes should help drive a limited recovery in the Australian dollar towards the end of the decade.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Australia exchange rate outlook Q3 2015 PDF - 354.17 KB 3 Pages, 1 Tables, 4 Figures
  • Exchange Rate Forecast Q3 2015 (portal).xls XLS - 116.00 KB


This Exchange Rate Outlook presents Wood Mackenzie's annual bilateral exchange rate forecast to 2035.

Our comprehensive understanding of commodity markets gives us a unique insight into the outlook for commodity currencies.

We forecast bilateral exchange rates by assessing fundamental drivers, including interest rate differentials, relative economic growth rates, productivity of the tradable goods sector, and the current account balance.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary
    • Exchange rate forecasts

In this report there are 5 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Executive summary: Table 1
    • AUD per USD (nominal)
    • Real trade-weighted exchange rate index
    • Trade balance
    • Key interest rates
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