Commodity market report
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3 Pages

Australia exchange rate outlook Q3 2016

Australia exchange rate outlook Q3 2016

Report summary

Will we see further depreciation of the Australian dollar in 2016, or have we reached a turning point? With Chinese growth continuing to slow and US interest rates rising, risks are weighted to the downside although potential recovery in commodity prices could support appreciation longer term.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Australia exchange rate outlook Q3 2016 PDF - 357.43 KB 3 Pages, 1 Tables, 4 Figures
  • Exchange Rate Forecast Q3 2016.xls XLS - 132.00 KB


This Exchange Rate Outlook presents Wood Mackenzie's annual bilateral exchange rate forecast to 2035.

Our comprehensive understanding of commodity markets gives us a unique insight into the outlook for commodity currencies.

We forecast bilateral exchange rates by assessing fundamental drivers, including interest rate differentials, relative economic growth rates, productivity of the tradable goods sector, and the current account balance.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary

In this report there are 5 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Exchange rate forecasts
    • Australian dollars per US$ (nominal)
    • Real trade-weighted exchange rate index
    • monthly trade balance
    • Key interest rates
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