Commodity market report
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5 Pages

Brazil exchange rate outlook Q1 2016

Brazil exchange rate outlook Q1 2016

Report summary

The real has depreciated by over 60% against the US dollar since 2011. Will the slide continue through 2016? We think the real is approaching its low point and could start to recover soon, but significant downside risks remain.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Brazil exchange rate outlook Q1 2016 PDF - 369.05 KB 5 Pages, 1 Tables, 6 Figures
  • Exchange Rate Forecast Q1 2016.xls XLS - 116.00 KB


This Exchange Rate Outlook presents Wood Mackenzie's annual bilateral exchange rate forecast to 2035.

Our comprehensive understanding of commodity markets gives us a unique insight into the outlook for commodity currencies.

We forecast bilateral exchange rates by assessing fundamental drivers, including interest rate differentials, relative economic growth rates, productivity of the tradable goods sector, and the current account balance.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary

In this report there are 7 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Brazilian real to the US$ - base case versus downside
    • Exchange rate forecasts
    • Reals per US$ (nominal)
    • Trade-weighted real exchange rate index
    • Terms of trade
    • Brazil inflation
    • Benchmark interest rates
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