Commodity market report
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4 Pages

Brazil exchange rate outlook Q3 2015

Brazil exchange rate outlook Q3 2015

Report summary

The Brazilian real has slumped by over 60% against the US dollar since its 2011 high. In part this reflects a strong US dollar and falling prices for Brazil's commodity exports. in addition, concerns about Brazil's fiscal position has sparked capital outflows. With the Brazilian economy struggling to find sources of growth, we expect the real to remain weak over the coming years.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Brazil exchange rate outlook Q3 2015 PDF - 349.30 KB 4 Pages, 1 Tables, 5 Figures
  • Exchange Rate Forecast Q3 2015 (portal).xls XLS - 116.00 KB


This Exchange Rate Outlook presents Wood Mackenzie's annual bilateral exchange rate forecast to 2035.

Our comprehensive understanding of commodity markets gives us a unique insight into the outlook for commodity currencies.

We forecast bilateral exchange rates by assessing fundamental drivers, including interest rate differentials, relative economic growth rates, productivity of the tradable goods sector, and the current account balance.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary

In this report there are 6 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Exchange rate forecasts
    • Real per US$: nominal exchange rate
    • Brazilian real trade-weighted exchange rate
    • Terms of trade
    • CPI inflation
    • Benchmark interest rates
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