Commodity market report

Canada economic outlook Q3 2014

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Report summary

The Canadian economy has been one of the better performing economies within the developed world over the past 5 years. A stable banking system allowed it to escape the worst of the financial crisis, while buoyant commodity prices have supported investment and exports. We expect the economy to continue to expand at a healthy pace, supported by stronger growth in the US, but elevated property prices and household debt are a key risk to stability.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Canada economic outlook Q3 2014

    PDF 307.23 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 74.91 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 89.43 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 110.85 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 57.59 KB

Table of contents

    • Economic Indicators
  • Market structure
    • Short-term outlook
    • Trade
    • Investment
    • Whilst Canada's domestic recovery from the financial crisis has been relatively good, the challenging global market has contributed to the Bank of Canada maintaining historically low interest rates of 1% for a prolonged period. This accommodative monetary policy has supported exports and private sector borrowing, but it may have also created some problems. Cheap mortgage rates have led to record levels of household debt and rising property prices. Having doubled over the past ten years, average house prices continue to rise faster than incomes. We are concerned about what will happen when interest rates increase, likely from next year, and mortgage payments follow.
      • Real GDP (Annual Growth)
      • Population by Age Cohort
      • CAD to US$ exchange rate
    • Upside
    • Downside

Tables and charts

This report includes 11 images and tables including:

Images

  • GDP by sector (% of GDP)
  • Real GDP by expenditure (millions of Canadian dollars)
  • Resource extraction (% of value added)
  • Market structure: Image 4
  • Economic outlook: Image 1
  • Economic outlook: Image 2
  • Economic outlook: Image 3
  • Economic outlook: Image 4
  • Economic outlook: Image 5
  • Economic outlook: Image 6

Tables

  • Executive summary: Table 1

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