Commodity market report
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11 Pages

China economic outlook Q2 2015

China economic outlook Q2 2015

Report summary

China's economy is in transition. The gravitational shift from China's east to west is well underway, and the service sector has overtaken industry as a share of GDP since 2013. In the short term, policy remains the key driver of economic growth as the government balances between supporting growth and implementing reforms. We expect Chinese GDP growth to remain robust in the longer term, driven by productivity gains and investment especially in the inland provinces.

What's included?

This report includes 3 file(s)

  • China economic outlook Q2 2015 PDF - 673.39 KB 11 Pages, 1 Tables, 13 Figures
  • Country economic data China Q2 2015.xls XLS - 138.50 KB
  • economic focus april 2015- chinas q1 gdp vs energy demand.pdf PDF - 629.86 KB


This Economic Outlook presents our macroeconomic outlook to 2035 at the country level.

Specifically we assess the structure of the economy and present the GDP and industrial production outlook.

The long-term outlook is underpinned by a set of GDP models which take account of long-term structural drivers of GDP including demographics, investment and productivity growth.

Finally, we highlight the key risks facing our outlook, both upside and downside.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary
  • Market structure
  • Economic outlook
    • Short-term outlook
    • Long-term outlook
    • Exchange rate outlook
  • Risks and uncertainties

In this report there are 14 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Economic Indicators
  • Market structure
    • GDP by sector (% of GDP)
    • GDP by expenditure (current CNY tn)
    • Chinese exports to top destinations
    • Provincial GDP (% of national GDP, 2014)
    • Provincial urban population (% of national total, 2014)
  • Economic outlook
    • Construction completions
    • Real GDP outlook
    • Industrial production outlook
    • Population by age cohort (million)
    • Real GDP Growth by Component
    • Provincial GDP (% of national GDP, 2035)
    • Rise of consumption
    • Real GDP per capita (constant USD, 2005)
  • Risks and uncertainties
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Why Wood Mackenzie?

Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk Analytics business, has been a trusted source of commercial intelligence for the world's natural resources sector for more than 40 years, empowering clients to make better strategic decisions with objective analysis and advice.

We work across every sector of oil, gas, power, renewables, chemicals, metals and mining, covering more than 150 countries. Our proprietary data and models are at the core of everything we do, ensuring our independent asset and company valuations are thoroughly robust and that we offer an accurate forward-looking view of economic indicators such as market supply, demand and price trends.

Our 500+ analysts are based in the regions they cover, cultivating an unrivalled depth of understanding to help clients accurately identify new opportunities, define their strategy and improve business performance.

At every stage, our teams readily collaborate and share their insight to provide an integrated perspective across entire industries. It is this unique and rigorous analytical approach that ensures we are recognised as the industry standard by the world’s most innovative organisations.