Commodity market report

China exchange rate outlook Q1 2015

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Report summary

The short-term outlook for the RMB has been downgraded. We expect the RMB to continue its depreciation trend in 2015. The weaker currency outlook is primarily due to downside GDP risk coming to fore, with policy makers trying to moderate the pace of RMB appreciation in order to maintain export competitiveness and stabilise short-term economic growth. China's GDP growth is forecast to slow from 7.4% in 2014 to 7.1% this year and 6.9% in 2016.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Exchange Rate Forecast Q1 2015.xls

    XLS 116.00 KB

  • Document

    China exchange rate outlook Q1 2015

    PDF 376.42 KB

  • Document

    China exchange rate outlook Q1 2015

    ZIP 422.52 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 217.11 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary

Tables and charts

This report includes 7 images and tables including:


  • CNY per USD
  • Real Trade Weighted Exchange Rate Index
  • Current Account Balance
  • Capital account balance
  • Trade balance
  • Exchange rate comparison


  • Exchange rate forecasts

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