Commodity Market Report

China exchange rate outlook Q3 2015

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Report summary

The short-term outlook for the RMB has been downgraded. We expect the RMB to depreciate further in late 2015. The weaker currency outlook is primarily due to downside GDP risk coming to fore, with policy makers allowing limited RMB depreciation to maintain export competitiveness and stabilise short-term economic growth. China's GDP growth is forecast to slow from 7.4% in 2014 to 7.1% this year and 6.9% in 2016.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Exchange Rate Forecast Q3 2015 (portal).xls

    XLS 116.00 KB

  • Document

    China exchange rate outlook Q3 2015

    PDF 379.89 KB

  • Document

    China exchange rate outlook Q3 2015

    ZIP 425.40 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 217.91 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary

Tables and charts

This report includes 7 images and tables including:

Tables

  • Exchange rate forecasts

Images

  • CNY per USD
  • Real Trade Weighted Exchange Rate Index
  • Current Account Balance
  • Capital account balance
  • Trade balance
  • Exchange rate comparison

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