Commodity market report
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5 Pages

China long-term economic outlook Q1 2014

China long-term economic outlook Q1 2014

Report summary

China's long-term growth potential remains robust. We expect GDP growth to moderate from 7.1% in 2015 to 4.9% by 2035. Much of this growth will be driven by productivity gains (as technology advances and labour shifts into higher value add sectors) and investment. 

What's included?

This report includes 1 file(s)

  • China long-term economic outlook Q1 2014 PDF - 290.98 KB 5 Pages, 1 Tables, 5 Figures


This Economic Outlook presents our macroeconomic outlook to 2035 at the country level.

Specifically we assess the structure of the economy and present the GDP and industrial production outlook.

The long-term outlook is underpinned by a set of GDP models which take account of long-term structural drivers of GDP including demographics, investment and productivity growth.

Finally, we highlight the key risks facing our outlook, both upside and downside.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary
  • Market structure
  • Economic outlook
  • Risks and uncertainties

In this report there are 6 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Economic Indicators
  • Market structure
    • GDP by sector (% of GDP)
    • GDP by expenditure (current CNY tn)
  • Economic outlook
    • Economic outlook: Image 1
    • Economic outlook: Image 2
    • Economic outlook: Image 3
  • Risks and uncertainties
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