Insight
Economic focus November 2015: The start of the interest rate tightening cycle?
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Report summary
The US Federal Reserve is expected to hike interest rates in mid-December, the first rise since 2006. The US economy looks strong enough to withstand a modest increase in borrowing costs, particularly given the recent performance of the labour market. However, other major economies are not likely to tighten monetary policy in 2016. This will support a strong US dollar, with negative implications for US trade and corporate profitability.
Table of contents
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A rise in US interest rates looks imminent
- Monetary tightening to occur elsewhere?
- What are the implications for the US economy?
- Economic indicators
Tables and charts
This report includes 24 images and tables including:
- US labour market
- US consumer price inflation
- USA Purchasing Managers' Indices
- Eurozone Purchasing Managers' Indices
- Japan Purchasing Managers' Indices
- China Purchasing Managers' Indices
- Industrial production
- Industrial production
- Consumer Sentiment Index (3-month moving avg.)
- Consumer Sentiment Index (3-month moving avg.)
- 10-year government bond yields (%)
- 10-year government bond yields (%)
- Consumer Price Index (annual % change)
- Consumer Price Index (annual % change)
- Exchange Rate Indices vs US$ (Jan 2012 = 100)
- Exchange Rate Indices vs US$ (Jan 2012 = 100)
- Oil and gas prices
- Copper and freight prices
- Japan inflation and unemployment
- Eurozone inflation
- UK unemployment and inflation
- Benchmark interest rates
- US dollar real trade-weighted index
- US monthly goods trade deficit
What's included
This report contains:
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