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Economic focus November 2015: The start of the interest rate tightening cycle?

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Report summary

The US Federal Reserve is expected to hike interest rates in mid-December, the first rise since 2006. The US economy looks strong enough to withstand a modest increase in borrowing costs, particularly given the recent performance of the labour market. However, other major economies are not likely to tighten monetary policy in 2016. This will support a strong US dollar, with negative implications for US trade and corporate profitability.

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    Economic focus November 2015: The start of the interest rate tightening cycle?

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Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 24 images and tables including:

Images

  • US labour market
  • US consumer price inflation
  • USA Purchasing Managers' Indices
  • Eurozone Purchasing Managers' Indices
  • Japan Purchasing Managers' Indices
  • China Purchasing Managers' Indices
  • Industrial production
  • Industrial production
  • Consumer Sentiment Index (3-month moving avg.)
  • Consumer Sentiment Index (3-month moving avg.)
  • 10-year government bond yields (%)
  • 10-year government bond yields (%)
  • Consumer Price Index (annual % change)
  • Consumer Price Index (annual % change)
  • Exchange Rate Indices vs US$ (Jan 2012 = 100)
  • Exchange Rate Indices vs US$ (Jan 2012 = 100)
  • Oil and gas prices
  • Copper and freight prices
  • Japan inflation and unemployment
  • Eurozone inflation
  • UK unemployment and inflation
  • Benchmark interest rates
  • US dollar real trade-weighted index
  • US monthly goods trade deficit

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