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Economic focus November 2015: The start of the interest rate tightening cycle?


Economic focus November 2015: The start of the interest rate tightening cycle?

Report summary

The US Federal Reserve is expected to hike interest rates in mid-December, the first rise since 2006. The US economy looks strong enough to withstand a modest increase in borrowing costs, particularly given the recent performance of the labour market. However, other major economies are not likely to tighten monetary policy in 2016. This will support a strong US dollar, with negative implications for US trade and corporate profitability.

What's included?

This report includes 1 file(s)

  • Economic focus November 2015: The start of the interest rate tightening cycle? PDF - 702.68 KB 10 Pages, 0 Tables, 24 Figures

Description

This Macroeconomics and Global Trends Insight report presents our research on this key topic, and draws out the implications for economies and commodity markets.

This report delivers a clear understanding of our unique global economic outlook and identify risks and uncertainties to watch out for.

Wood Mackenzie's global trends and macroeconomic analysis underpins all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

Our comprehensive understanding of commodity markets gives us a unique insight into the pace of global development and the risks associated with it.

  • A rise in US interest rates looks imminent
    • Monetary tightening to occur elsewhere?
    • What are the implications for the US economy?
  • Economic indicators

In this report there are 24 tables or charts, including:

  • A rise in US interest rates looks imminent
    • US labour market
    • US consumer price inflation
    • Japan inflation and unemployment
    • Eurozone inflation
    • UK unemployment and inflation
    • Benchmark interest rates
    • US dollar real trade-weighted index
    • US monthly goods trade deficit
  • Economic indicators
    • USA Purchasing Managers' Indices
    • Eurozone Purchasing Managers' Indices
    • Japan Purchasing Managers' Indices
    • China Purchasing Managers' Indices
    • Industrial production
    • Industrial production
    • Consumer Sentiment Index (3-month moving avg.)
    • Consumer Sentiment Index (3-month moving avg.)
    • 10-year government bond yields (%)
    • 10-year government bond yields (%)
    • Consumer Price Index (annual % change)
    • Consumer Price Index (annual % change)
    • Exchange Rate Indices vs US$ (Jan 2012 = 100)
    • Exchange Rate Indices vs US$ (Jan 2012 = 100)
    • Oil and gas prices
    • Copper and freight prices
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