Insight

EMEARC economic outlook H1 2018: full steam ahead or running out of steam?

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In this Insight we assess the economic outlook for economies in the EMEARC region to 2040. Europe is on a good run of economic growth hitting a 10-year high in 2017. Momentum is carried into 2018 but the question is: how long can this expansion continue? Oil producing economies are buoyed by oil prices recovering to $70/bbl. But governments must continue to focus on diversification if longer-term growth is to decouple from the fate of oil markets. What impact will demographics, automation and inequality have on European growth over the longer term? 

Table of contents

  • In time added on?
  • Automatic for the people: challenges for long-term growth
  • Conclusion

Tables and charts

This report includes 10 images and tables including:

  • Real GDP growth annual
  • Germany's economic cycles peak-to-peak
  • Oil price in local currencies
  • Government fiscal breakevens
  • EU28 demographics
  • Real GDP growth by region (annual)
  • France household income growth
  • Household income: mean-median spread
  • Germany economic outlook
  • South Africa economic outlook

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    GDP Forecast Q1 2018.xls

    XLS 1.44 MB

  • Document

    EMEARC economic outlook H1 2018: full steam ahead or running out of steam?

    PDF 321.27 KB

  • Document

    EMEARC economic outlook H1 2018: full steam ahead or running out of steam?

    ZIP 766.45 KB